Wonderdog

I've got about a 10 mile cushion. I just warmed up the toy!

Are those light green "fingers" for lack of a better word, in VA indicative of the negative tilt beginning?

Why isn't there an enhanced area on that map?

Triggered!

You gotta like hearing the term "negative tilt"!

But isnt this storm really bombing out around our latitude as opposed to south of us?

Are the Kuchera snow maps still wacked and if so why haven't they been fixed?

Him and the golden snowshovel

It would head straight for Hatteras

Is the midweek storm your typical Miller B?

Snow and sleet pellets in Gainesville 33ﾟ

EURO looks prettty good for NOVA on the 15th. Looks like periods of heavy snow or sleet. Quick mover. Gfs nada.

I have a possible solution for you. I recall that when I experienced my first major snowstorm in the mid to late 50's in South Jersey; that was when I first became very interested in weather. I made a half-arse weather vane: learned about clouds, wind direction, local conditions, etc. Of course back then there was no radar, satellite images, etc. and of course no computer models. But I think knowing what is probably coming ten days to two weeks down the road in our area can be especially depressing and tends to suppress hope. Seems like back when we didn't have all the advancements in weather forecasting that we enjoy now, there was a lot less angst. And no, this is not an indictment against progress. So if you must look at the models, don't go past 6 days. Even if on day six, there's a developing storm in the GOM and a cold front is approaching. And just hope.

Keep the faith brother! I'll never abandon the EURO. I thought H5 looked pretty good on the 6z GFS. What am I missing?

That would be a nice event for the area. Does the depicted look at H5, support this storm?

I thought I saw a few flurries at Route 66 and Fairfax County Parkway

Let's hope that the hurricane pulls down the colder weather in Canada and produces an east coast snowacaine on the 28th. I would gladly punt the entire winter season if that were to happen.

Yes. That would mean a couple more events that would give us some semblance of anticipation prior to the overnight winter weather advisory from midnight to 5AM.

I guess I can accept "median" especially coming off last year, but never content.

hm, not HM.

Keep the faith brother. hm is anticipating coastal storms at the end of the month(our prime climo time).

NAO index goes negative at end of month. Doesn't that indicate east coast storms are likely to be more prevalent?

Not much to look forward to the next two weeks looking at the overnight model runs. The ICON has hinted at a storm off the east coast around the 22nd but at H5 the ridging is in the middle of the country. Now if we could just move it westward around 800 miles.

You're right.

My bad. I thought the op lost the possible coastal on the 24th. I have to stop looking at the models using my phone.