TPAwx

17 minutes ago, Eskimo Joe said:

Got a link or image?

Animate from here, h72 in Tropical Tidbits:

where is my captain

The post landfall track on the 18z FV3 is epic.  Also big dump in eastern NC and SE VA.

11AM advisory, NHC adding possibility of low end cane prior to landfall Tuesday evening.

43 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

probably like hundreds of thousands of years...

The current version of OBX are not nearly that old.  Deglaciation and SLR processes shape and shift.  Hurricane impacts are obviously common there but not insignificant to the integrity of the barrier islands and the ongoing viability to host people, flora and fauna.

Really hate to see these solutions closing in on OBX.  As modeled it would be a sufficient pounding with that sustained onshore fetch and wave action.  They don't need additional infrastructure or economic disruption after the recent severed power line incident during peak tourist season.  

Did Irma's path and intensity create any limiting factors to Maria once it gains latitude?  Upwelling or removal of heat content?  NHC seems bullish on Maria's intensity prospects, and the current path is very concerning for some of those smaller islands and PR.