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Bryan63

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Posts posted by Bryan63

  1. 24 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

    that bad there? :lol:

    If you're looking for a place with plenty of chain restaurants, buy here pay here furniture stores, and bars with drunk marines, it'll definitely hit the spot.

    That said, some amazing places nearby. Emerald Isle across the water, I will forever claim as being one of the nicest beaches in the country.

  2. 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

    I’m actually somewhat shocked at how bad the response to this storm has been. None of the storms like Feb 2021 or Jan 2022 or the 2018 storms caused this type of disruption. This area got really soft the last 2-3 years. :lol:

    You're telling me, my son has had 3 snow days this week. Only time I can remember getting that many days off in a row was the 2005 storm.

  3. Just now, LSC97wxnut said:

    Looks like NWS just changed the WSW to warnings.

    URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
    National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA
    1228 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
    
    CTZ002>004-MAZ002>022-026-RIZ001>007-241200-
    /O.UPG.KBOX.WS.A.0001.260125T1200Z-260127T0000Z/
    /O.NEW.KBOX.WS.W.0001.260125T1200Z-260127T0100Z/
    Hartford CT-Tolland CT-Windham CT-Western Franklin MA-Eastern
    Franklin MA-Northern Worcester MA-Central Middlesex MA-Western
    Essex MA-Eastern Essex MA-Western Hampshire MA-Western Hampden MA-
    Eastern Hampshire MA-Eastern Hampden MA-Southern Worcester MA-
    Western Norfolk MA-Southeast Middlesex MA-Suffolk MA-Eastern
    Norfolk MA-Northern Bristol MA-Western Plymouth MA-Eastern
    Plymouth MA-Southern Bristol MA-Southern Plymouth MA-Barnstable
    MA-Northern Middlesex MA-Northwest Providence RI-Southeast
    Providence RI-Western Kent RI-Eastern Kent RI-Bristol RI-
    Washington RI-Newport RI-
    Including the cities of Coventry, Ayer, Bristol, West Greenwich,
    Warwick, Blandford, Newport, Springfield, Milford, Smithfield,
    Willimantic, Lawrence, Greenfield, Mattapoisett, East Greenwich,
    Plymouth, Union, New Bedford, Chesterfield, Provincetown, Putnam,
    Foxborough, Vernon, Northampton, Windsor Locks, Brockton,
    Falmouth, Westerly, Fitchburg, Quincy, Fall River, Orange, Barre,
    Framingham, West Warwick, Cambridge, Taunton, Charlemont,
    Gloucester, Chatham, Hartford, Worcester, Narragansett, Lowell,
    Norwood, Providence, Boston, Foster, and Amherst
    1228 PM EST Fri Jan 23 2026
    
    ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM SUNDAY TO 8 PM EST
    MONDAY...
    
    * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations between 12
      and 17 inches. Winds gusting as high as 30 mph.
    
    * WHERE...Much of Southern New England excluding Martha`s Vineyard,
      Nantucket and Block Island.
    
    * WHEN...From 7 AM Sunday to 8 PM EST Monday.
    
    * IMPACTS...Roads, and especially bridges and overpasses, will
      likely become slick and hazardous. Travel could be very difficult
      to impossible, especially if traveling overnight into the Monday
      morning commute. The hazardous conditions could impact the Monday
      morning and evening commutes.
    
    PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
    
    If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
    your vehicle in case of an emergency.
    
    Persons should consider delaying all travel. Motorists should use
    extreme caution if travel is absolutely necessary.
  4. Man that is a great look. Obviously it looks like everyone is going to get in on this, but really liking my spot at the moment. Mentioned it before, my son turns 7 in April and last weekends 6" was the most he's ever seen in one snowfall. Trying to get him to be as much of a weenie as me so he's been going around the house with the tape measure seeing what 10-15" compares to 

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  5. 7 minutes ago, ri_lurker1314 said:

    Does a 6:45AM flight out of Logan Monday AM have a chance to get out? I wonder about all of the different dynamics. Doesn't seem to be blizzardish, and I've taken off on trips where the snow was definitely heavy. That said, it didn't come after a foot of snow previously needed to clear from the runway, but alas. 

    For what it's worth, I had a 7am flight out of Logan Monday and Delta strongly suggested finding alternative times. Granted I was flying to Memphis, connecting at LaGuardia so the whole route is impacted by this.

    Happily scrapped my work trip so I can stay home for this.

  6. WPC Forecast

    Model guidance generally remains in good agreement with the aforementioned large scale pattern evolution, however differences in the details persist. The most notable question deals with how much interaction we see between the southern stream and northern stream energy over the Plains, and the overall depth/strength of the resultant trough. More interaction and a stronger trough would likely result in stronger downstream ridging and thus a farther north storm track. This is indeed what just about all the 00z models are trending towards. Generally a clean sweep, with the deterministic physics based models, ensemble means, and AI guidance all shifting north with the storm track. This trend really has little to no impact on the fact that a widespread and significant winter storm is going to occur...but it does play a big factor in exactly where the rain/ice/snow lines set up.

    So how confident are we in this trend, and will it continue or revert back to earlier runs, is the big question. Given the nearly unanimous trend in this direction, and at least a couple model runs in a row showing such a trend, it does seem like this shift has some merit. However, overall run to run consistency has shown pretty large swings with the exact handling of both the southern and northern stream energy. Suspect that the exact details of these features is far from settled upon...especially the northern stream energy which is currently strung out across much of western Canada into the arctic. Thus tend to think that the unanimous model trend could be a slight mirage and suggests more confidence in a solution than there actually is at this point. Either way, it should be stressed that in just about every outcome we get a widespread and major winter storm with many areas getting significant impacts regardless of these exact details. These details are, however, important for exactly where the maximum snow and ice totals occur. The current WPC QPF and temperatures were derived before much of this 00z guidance was available, and thus is a bit south of the new consensus. As described above, no guarantee we don't see a shift back south in later models...but assuming some persistence in the 06z/12z models then the WPC update today would likely shift north to at least some extent..

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