rowjimmy73

we are ready, learned alot about how it floods here during michael. got tons of water, lanterns, batteries and canned goods. just bought a 5 day stay frozen cooler and waiting om city to issue sandbags monday to protect hvac and hotwater. i say bring it on.

nws blacksburg regardless of how strong or not the PRE is what to watch, anything after that will just be a bad scene in an already ridic wet year here in southside SHORT TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... As of 350 AM EDT Saturday... By Sunday our attention will turn toward Isaias approaching the southeast coast of the US. The latest NHC track guidance is slower and a bit further to the west. This looks to take the storm over eastern/coastal North Carolina Monday night. As Isaias approaches, the trailing cold front from a surface low moving into the great lakes will get hung up and stall over the Appalachians and central mid Atlantic region, setting the stage for a PRE to become established as the front interacts with the approaching tropical circulation around Isaias. Guidance members are all singing variations on this same theme to give growing confidence to the possibility of widespread rainfall beginning by late Sunday. However it is common for a PRE to have an embedded band of enhanced rainfall and there there remains a good deal of uncertainty in exactly where this band of enhanced rainfall will be. As it stands now it looks like widespread rainfall amounts of 1.5 to 2.5 inches can be expected with 3.0 inch amounts along the Blue Ridge, and orographic affects in the mountains will also enhance rainfall amounts. This amount of rainfall will make flooding an increasing possibility with significant flooding possible if the PRE lingers over the same area for a prolonged period of time. Isaias accelerates away from the area on Tuesday but the axis of the upper trof remains to our west and will continue our chances for showers/storms. After one last hot day o Sunday, expect a cooling trend with the arrival of widespread clouds and rainfall. Highs on Monday will be in the lower 80s east, mid/upper 70s west, and just a bit warmer for Tuesday.

River City TV reports memorial dr in danville closed due to mudslide

wake of the flood, laughing water....

And early dismissal called for DPS, good call, even though winds and antecedent conditions not like Michael, this kinda rain with the upstream reports make for a scary looking day.

Only has to come close, lots of infrastructure still not repaired down here and 5" would be very bad.

Crazy weather, biggest since Michael potentially. Wishing DPS would call school, not going to be safe for the buses

Even when I grew up in nj, its dec winter dint get goin til january....add in now being in the south and I'll take average all day long

yup a big ol nothingburger but fun to practice my tracking in a newish environment as i learn it better. and DPS did close so family day of Xmas movies and making rice krispy treats

30/21 here in Danville. Schools closed

30/21 here in Danville. Schools closed

I'm hoping for just enough to do delays lol. Nuisance so I can at least sleep in, or nothing til Jan 7 pls when safely home again in danville

So the CMC still showing good ice, (misnomer) and WWA up for the Nws BLacksburg area, getting my ice melt down and prepping branches down around the yard. What's everyone's take? Hoping DPS calls the day tomorrow so I get some wife time https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem&region=us&pkg=mslp_pcpn_frzn&runtime=2019121200&fh=36

feb 83 all of 77/78 good years to be a kidl. 10 yr old me remembers cnj thundersnow in feb 83

dont get me wrong, i love it as much as the next weenie. im just agreeing with the bottom statement...i wished for it all my life having lived in nj and been in remnants, missed sandy cause i lived in fl.Michael last year was insane, we had almost 9 inches of rain here and the river rose like 23 ft in 9 minutes or something. we went thru what looked like the banded remains of the eye and it wa crazy

if we can get a winter like 1995 out of it ill be happy. glad to see im not theonly one to see this, mentioned it to my wife last week having lived through michaels remains in the va piedmont ill take quiet anytime. still recovering down here and it wasnt even a named storm anymore

very much like ivan...we need to check for russian interfernece lol

yes up here in danville we had a good rain from matthew. im not certain how much rain even tho its been dryish lately we can take without incurring more damage. still recovering up here from michael, let alone the severe weve had over the summer.

my curiousity is, when wil the transition to extra tropical begin, will we see a transition of the rain shield to the nw once it get to the nc coast or will it stay mainly east sided

That's my fear. Could a stronger trough pull it more inland? Still haven't figured out the va piedmont since moving. But unnerving to be a 3rd year in a row with some sort of remnant system nearby

Watching that arrival time for ts winds showing up weds pm/Thursday am extrapolated makes me uneasy here in the piedmont. What's the chance it starts its post tropical transition and the western precip shield becomes a problem up here?

whats your take on the cmc? its unreal that in the 3 plus years weve lived here since moving from naples, fl that we have had a remnant or storm every year...we had none in 7 years in naples lol. danville must hate me

so yea the cmc while not exactly the same, shows a michael type hit here in the va piedmont, we here in danville have not recovered yet from last year so umm no

totally unrelated to this post but.... tomorrow in southside va, we will be playing "oh the dreadful wind and the rain" and singing " if the thunder dont get ya, then the lightning will..."