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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. GFS finally caved and now shows the heat wave. The main difference now is that it has much higher DP’s than the Euro, thus less mixing/cooler temps. In this setup that is more of an unrealistic solution. .
  2. Feedback will definitely help in this case. A more iffy day such as Friday could easily be 90° now, given the feedback and ORD warm bias.
  3. Euro, EPS and GEM are all still onboard for a heat wave from Fri through late next week. Euro/GEM both still have a few days near 100° as well.
  4. Quite a difference on guidance for the next week. Euro and EPS have a heat wave, Fri-Wed with near 100° temps on Mon/Tue. On the flip side, the GFS and GEFS are much cooler. GEM is more in between. .
  5. Euro weeklies are a very torchy for Sept. .
  6. You lucked out or missed out, depending on your line of thinking. .
  7. Halfway through August, if the month ended yesterday this summer would finish 3rd warmest on record for Chicago as 76.2°. Top 5 warmest summers on record... 1. 76.4° - 1955 2. 76.3° - 1995 3. 76.1° - 2012 4. 75.9° -1921 5. 75.5° - 1959 5. 75.5° - 1949 The highest temp at ORD has “only” been 96, so there hasn’t been big heat. Consistently warm has done the job though. .
  8. This map is actually a good illustration of how the derecho quickly changed character rapidly as it pushed into the LOT CWA. It went from vortex dominant across DSM/DVN CWA’s, to MV dominant fairly quickly into the LOT CWA. My best guess on why this happened is...For one, the derecho had entered a post-mature stage...Second, the main vortex that moved from north of DSM-Marshalltown-CID eventually weakened as it encountered a disturbed environment from the RFD supercell. At this time it became more MV dominated. .
  9. Hawkeye and surrounding folks of Cedar Rapids better have some damn good pictures/video to share when they get power back in another week or two. The more I hear about how things went there and see pictures/video from there, the more I want. .
  10. This might be the dumbest post in this threat in a while. .
  11. MV’s were not as predominant until the character of the derecho changed as it existed the DVN CWA, so I’m not sure there would have been many. .
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