Chicago Storm
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm
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OP 18z Euro only goes out to 90hrs.
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18z EPS mean
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Moisture laden for sure, with both a Pac and Gulf connection.
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18z Euro thru 12z Thur...
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18z GEM was about the same with overrunning, but was definitely going to be north with the main storm system.
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Definitely higher for the main storm system. Several posts back I posted a Chicago metro sounding from during the heart of the storm on Thursday, showing a deep DGZ.
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A few appear to be near ~40” based on WxBell maps color scale. Obviously at 10:1 ratio. .
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Sounding from the Chicago metro on Thursday, during the heart of the main storm system. Deep DGZ is deep.
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There might have been some potential still left on the table with that trough evolution in the Southwest/Plains. .
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18z GFS is coming north with everything... Overrunning event and the main storm system.
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all of the OG regulars are back. need an amped NAM run to bring the WI folks out of hiding. .
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just keep it easy as GHD III
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12z Euro is going to be wayyy north with the main storm. Significant changes aloft in terms of trough organization/quality, ejection timing and ridging ahead of it.
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Main storm should be north... Far less positive tilt and a bit faster as well.
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In the end, yea it does look like that. Seems like most 12z guidance made that transition to different degrees.
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12z Euro is going to bump the overrunning event south.
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12z GEPS .
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12z GEM .
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12z GEM is a bit south with the overrunning event and is well south/weaker with the main storm (Ejecting trough is much more positive tilt/strung out/further south).
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Main storm is a bit north of previous run. More ridging ahead of the ejecting trough, however it was slower.
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We have a few STL area posters in here.
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12z GFS coming in with a slightly different orientation for the overrunning event...It's a bit south for eastern areas and a bit north for western areas.
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12z RGEM bumped north with the overrunning event, and then would be a good bit north with the main storm system.
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12z NAM has a slightly different alignment for the overrunning event, and then definitely will be further north with the main storm.
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Differences in the 12z NAM start off at noise level early in the run, but increased quickly by mid-run. Main storm is definitely jumping north on this run.
