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Chicago Storm

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Chicago Storm

  1. One thing to watch for going forward is how ENS handle teleconnections. Long to even mid range ENS have kind of been not the best this season so far, with them breaking less + or less - as the short term approaches. .
  2. Depends on how everything else pans out. Upcoming patterned paired with phase 7 would still be a MN/WI/MI/Canada pattern (N Plains too). .
  3. Unless you live in MN/WI/MI/Canada, there should be significant concern/pause that this upcoming pattern will be a miss. The introduction of a -PNA will will bring an active pattern, but the NAO/AO will be of no help. Have to hope that the EPO can dip from time it time to help out, which is possible, but hard to bank on given the tendencies so far.
  4. Pivotal will be getting 6z and 18z Euro data come January. .
  5. interesting pattern changes coming up. on one end, can totally see how we get shut out through mid-december. .
  6. Had a few periods of snow around the area last night and then again today. The activity last night produced a non-measurable dusting here (T). ORD also had a T and 0.1” at RFD. .
  7. Looks like the area should get in on some snow showers tonight into tomorrow, but any accumulation will be minimal..if there is any at all. Tomorrow is a bit more interesting on some guidance, as the lake could get involved wrapping in on the backside of the SLP. .
  8. Had numerous snow showers/squalls today. A few had brief periods of heavier snow and non-measurable dustings. ORD had a T and RFD 0.1”
  9. The new trend has been slower for those both to occur, along with a flatter/northern entry into the US. This leads to a delayed organization, and a miss for around here. .
  10. Not really conservative... More along the lines of what overnight guidance suggests, with the good snows a bit north, along and north of the border. .
  11. The evolution change at 500mb on guidance the past few days has been quite significant. We’re at the point where there’s actually phasing and the wave goes neutral or negative tilt.
  12. And for the latter issue, it'll help that temps will be held in the 30's from later tonight on through the event.
  13. Still have some time on this one, as the wave isn’t onshore until later Friday. .
  14. couple inch events almost always get threads. probably was a bit too far out though. but tis the first potential, so. .
  15. Very likely a good chunk of the sub-forum does on Thur-Sat, behind the first system. The there’s the weekend clipper/hybrid go watch as well. .
  16. The early starts are in October (Think 2019), and this isn’t October anymore. Next weekend we’re in mid-November already. .
  17. First trace of snow at RFD this morning, only a few days off the average (Oct 31st). .
  18. Warmest Octobers On Record: 1. 64.3° - 1963 2. 62.2° - 1971 3. 62.1° - 1947 4. 61.9° - 1920 5. 61.4° - 1900 6. 60.8° - 1956 6. 60.8° - 1879 8. 59.8° - 1924 9. 59.7° - 2021 9. 59.7° - 1953
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