Blue Ridge

Interesting clip: https://x.com/wcyb_davidboyd/status/1691443672775061504?s=46&t=-jk574F48wGboFVZ_ROoOQ

IIRC, this would line up close to the CC drop.

Sandhills and portions of the Triad broke the bust. Let’s see if the blob entering Chatham can hold it together and give greater Raleigh a show.


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Doozy of a training situation in Southern Wake this morning. Wild light show along with the heaviest rain since Ian.

Tapatalk double post, disregard

In my experience with the DGZ that low and temps so cold, you get small ice crystals, even if the sky is blue. I don't recall ever seeing freezing mist at temps below 10.

This is what happened during the 2015 cold snap. The coldest day IMBY (Erwin at the time) was 8° with ice crystals falling nearly all day. Unlike anything I’d seen before or have seen since.

0/10 composition and editing, but after watching at 8x speed I have no doubt this was it.

I wish I’d saved radar data - this meso initially developed ahead (to the NE) of the line and just crawled along US 1 until merging with the line. This is from roughly when the merger was occurring; the warning came ~20 mins later.

I saw what appeared to be a rotating wall cloud from Holly Springs as that cell moved to my north (at least 20 minutes prior to the warning). Unfortunately I was juggling my kid and cloud watching, so the best I have is crappy video from my iPhone propped in the window.

RTP tornado was an EF-1

No damage at the Pfizer building off Kit Creek Rd, no trees down either

Per Durham EMS on Twitter, it’s a Pfizer facility on Shiloh Glenn Dr at the 40/540 cloverleaf.

A few pictures of damage here.

Following I-540 for a couple of scans. Holy hell. That’s usually a parking lot by 4:45 or so.

It did the thing

This cell is giving it a go. Don’t think it will quite get there. Bears watching though.

If there’s a cell (or two) that will do the thing in the Triangle, it will likely be from this cluster west of Sanford.

New warning for Warren Co just north of Norlina

The cell east of Fayetteville looks ominous on SRV. CC dipped for a scan too, but looks like it may have just been noise.

Gatlinburg-Pigeon Forge (KGKT) went from 41 at 8:15 am to 82 by 1:35 pm. 41° in a touch over five hours is absolutely wild.

Sadly, this sub doesn’t really get up for severe weather. The TN Valley and Western subs both generally have more active discussion threads, particularly during MS/AL threats.

1 hour ago, PantherJustin said:

 Why is he so smug now? He used to be so cool…. Now it’s like all he wants to do is “I told you so” forecasting like he has something to prove by being First to Say something won’t happen…. Brad, You’ve got 100K followers on Twitter we know you’re reliable man don’t be like that. And as annoying as it is, for the love of god can Mets stop adding “Not a Forecast” or, “Stop Sharing These Deterministic model runs”  like yea no sh*t, I’m sorry if someone is stupid enough to believe a model that says 30” of snow in Augusta GA like the storm a few weeks ago….. well that’s natural selection imo. But it’s like all but Maybe 2-3 Mets just copy and paste each other’s “nothings coming” catch phrases now. Only a few that don’t and 1 is nice enough to post on this board from CLT. I mean be unique man so you’re own thing…… Sorry rant over 

I don’t blame him one bit. Dude fields questions all day long generated by pages like “Real OFFICIAL Lizard Lick Wx Page” sharing the GFS 384 hr total accumulation as though it’s gospel. People eat that up and then whine that meteorologists can’t forecast worth a crap when, shocker, it doesn’t come true. 
 

It’s a great way to illustrate that model sharing does not equate to forecasting or meteorology in any way. This ain’t smug. 

2 minutes ago, eyewall said:

Yeah I was mocked after the last fail in the Triangle during that stretch of 3 events for saying its over but it sure looks that way pattern wise.

You mean to tell me we can’t will the atmosphere into producing snow with good vibes?

Looks like our friends in the Yock may have something reaching the ground! 

CMC came west. Details at 11. 

1 minute ago, StantonParkHoya said:

Damn, even the GFS throws almost 2 inches at Raleigh

More in RDU than JFK. Wish I had a truckload of toasters to send up 95. 

3 minutes ago, JoshWeather said:

"Raleigh Durham, you have seen 11 inches of snow in the last 3 hours"

 

holy smokes

I keep meaning to check the validity of that statement. If true…good god. 

Meant to post this yesterday for those wishing to re-live the Crusher. The playlist begins with clips from 0600 on 1/25/00, when it was still going strong across much of NC and SC.