the ghost of leroy

2 minutes ago, Windspeed said:

Damn... NOAA3 is having issues. They're circling but have reported they are finished with the mission. No NE-SW pass.

5 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

984 mb, wow!  I was not expecting that.  Frankly, the core convection is a bit meager.  The color IR presentation isn't great.  However, the visible loop shows it has nice organization.  It could take off tonight if it can fire more widespread deep convection over/around the center.

Give me a good vis with weak IR to a big dark blob with 9 competing potential LLC’s

4 minutes ago, hlcater said:

It even looks like an “S” for Sandy

1 minute ago, Amped said:

Hard to get in the center of a pinhole eye, but Cancun is in a pretty bad spot.

Yeah. You have to be an elite member of the penetration club to hit the center of a pinhole. 

2 minutes ago, Mowfishin said:

Ghost of Leroy hopes so and Turtle is sure of it. 

I do. It’s time for me to be glass half full for the first time all season. 

Looks like a given that it’ll bomb. Has the look. Can it muster a clean early ERC? Hopefully. If it dawdles a bit before getting on with things we may never get a decent second peak/landfall. 

14 minutes ago, mappy said:

your posts are garbage per reports  

Lol. Probably the same people who actually tracked Teddy. 

Wxtwitter is so garbage

You can tell this one will actually be dank

Shame this is going to be wasted on the NGOM instead of Florida. 

2 minutes ago, hawkeye_wx said:

If this system does become a hurricane and threaten the US gulf coast, the water over the northern gulf is no longer the fuel it was when Sally traversed the area.

The image is from Ryan Maue on Twitter.

This is why I hope it’ll hit SW FL

32 minutes ago, Prospero said:

"Marie is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Steady weakening is expected during the next several days, and Marie is forecast to become a tropical storm by Sunday night."

Hmmmm, "this will probably be better than all the atlantic storms", still verified?

 

 

you east coasters slept through her peak, which was sicker than laura and sweaty teddy

On 9/30/2020 at 8:02 PM, the ghost of leroy said:

this will probably be better than all the atlantic storms

verified

Nice. Another broken recon mission. Glad we had tax breaks for the wealthy. 

What even comes after beta in the Greek alphabet?

this will probably be better than all the atlantic storms

2 hours ago, cptcatz said:

GFS-Para.  A major storm taking this western route into Miami would be catastrophic in terms of storm surge.  That right front quadrant would pile up the water into Biscayne Bay.

Alrighty then

2 hours ago, MJO812 said:

People love to model hug

Lol. They sure do. 

11 minutes ago, ldub23 said:

GFS now showing  nothing. Looks  like we  have  indeed ended the season very  early. ACE per storm not at all impressive this season.

Yup. Just total trash. 

Teddy 2 coming off Africa as well

1 hour ago, Windspeed said:

2 hours ago, the ghost of leroy said:

B+ is about right but this is like when the valedictorian just mails it in. If it were the dumb kid studying hard we could root for it. But here we shame. 

What would you consider needing to unfold late season to bring this up to A-/A territory?

A Mitch/Wilma level event in the Western Caribbean

2 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I’d probably go B+ right now for a grade? Extraordinary numerical activity and a lot of impactful hurricane landfalls, but the lack of comparable ACE and majors pulls the score downward. Only two majors in a year that’s already gone Greek is as insane as the number of storms.

B+ is about right but this is like when the valedictorian just mails it in. If it were the dumb kid studying hard we could root for it. But here we shame. 

Sure. We can all agree to call this the most trash hyperactive season ever. 

lol

21 minutes ago, Prospero said:

I'm pretty sure every mile of the Gulf Coast and most, if not all of the Atlantic Coast of the US has been in a cone at least once this season.

Makes for an interesting season so far...

 

Interesting? Tell that to the victims of tropical storm beta