Maneee

I'd post pictures but I'm on my phone. This really is starting to look like a big ice maker for a large portion of WI. Windy as well-- this may be really bad for quite of a lot of you north of chicago-- unless it ticks south some more.

I might finally get my high wind warning lol!

Actually considering doing a chase for this storm. If it comes a wee bit further east-- it'll be worth my while.

I wish it would come to the greater chicago metro. Oh well, we've had are cake so to speak.

^^^^^ yepyepyep

Also don't know if this link is out already but this was inbedded in tom skillings post about the income winds. https://www.windy.com/-Wind-gusts-gust?namConus,gust,42.082,-85.210,6,i:pressure

Yeah-- oh well. My comment was directed at LOT as a whole, not how the dealt with this storm. Also that comment was in reference to how bad GRR is and how I feel lucky to be in LOT CWA. Ah, well. The internet is the internet.

I just drove from Elgin to Lake Forest and then to Northbrook which is where I live. If you’re familiar with the area as I’m sure many of you will be it was an absolute skating rink on the interstate. Interstate 94, interstate 90, Illinois Route 53. Heavy icing in all of northern cook and Kane. Less so over Lake Forest yet there still is a pretty significant glaze over the college. Very glad to see that the ice storm warning was updated. As I said earlier would’ve been really hell to forecast this out advance with only one very reliable medium range model pointing at it.

https://www.spia-index.com/ncIce.php#tot This is the website with that graphic. Never seen it before but adding it to my arsenal.

Sleeting like crazy in NBK.

The warm nose was completely under modeled and frankly was hard to forecast by any stretch of the imagination. Also ice events have a tendency to underperform in northern Illinois. North America model scored a huge win tonight and was an outlier so personally I’m not going to get on the train of bashing LOT for doing what seems prudent.

I'm in NBK and it started as sleet which is interesting. I think better forcing will yield snow.

Holy Crow. Well, if that's any indicator the scary NAM may come to fruition.

I was reading this feeling immense appreciation for LOT. They improve every single year and they keep us appraised of all forecast changes and thought processes.

If it were moving more easterly it would be a great snow track. Certainly a good positon for NIL

Yeah really starting to wonder if we will get a large snowfall, the good news is if we don’t it won’t be for a lack of good systems. Strong winds on the backside will be fun either way.

The flip side of that is if it doesn’t materialize you get chronic nay saying. Although I don’t think this would be one of those cases.

I wonder if we all turn off our heaters and blow real hard in the southerly direction if we can get the track to go south!

I'm just hoping. It just doesn't seem that a storm would plow into the cold part of a baroclinic zone. You said it best, not really holding my breath.

Ha! True! Spoken like a true snow lover.

Don't you prefer #8?

Echoed my sentiments exactly but articulated them much better than I could've. So much of this has to do with the character of the system as it enters the CONUS. These northern biases (and southern) are probably what you might expect for 48-60 hours out. Stranger track jumps have certainly happened than a shift from N IL to S WI especially at this range.

Yeah-- you guys got over .5 an inch of precip. One would certainly wonder about how much of that will freeze.

.10-.20 of Ice and 3 inches of snow? Sure!

This has the look of an ice storm to me. Unless the sfc low tracks into sw and up through green bay I don't see a complete and fast transition to plain old rain. If the low tracks with the NAM, heavy wet snow and sleet is a real possibility. Either way I think travel is going to be really messy tues- tues night.