BGM Blizzard
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Posts posted by BGM Blizzard
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15 minutes ago, tim123 said:
06z euro for breakfast?
A little NW and/or wetter with the QPF. It's trying its best to give everyone in the forum atleast 6...
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0z EPS...
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EPS looking pretty rock steady vs. 18z thru 0z Wed
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Just now, tim123 said:
Anyone got eps?
Hasnt started running yet
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Sidenote, down to -6 temp here right now. Coldest night of the winter to date.
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0z Euro...
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Euro looking remarkably consistent compared to 18z thru 3z Wed except for more precip along south shore again.
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0z Icon...
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18z EPS mean is very consistent with 12z, no sizeable shift.
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18z EPS mean precip is looking a little NW of 12z thru H48.
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Euro really spread the love that run. WSW for everyone pretty near!
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18z Euro...
Last Frame at hour 90...
Total precip thru 12z Wednesday...
Kuchera
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18z Euro looking pretty close to 12z overall. Looks to be throwing more precip further west along south shore for our Roc folks. Will post when done.
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The Para GFS was actually the first model I think to bullseye the I-88 corridor but it was still in a trial phase at the time I believe so there wasn't many model runs for that storm. But then again a broken clock is always right twice a day...
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Here was a couple of the models leading up to the mid December storm. BGM was mostly on the NW fringe of heavy snow for a while...
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1 minute ago, Ericjcrash said:
Ridiculous local gradient here.
Yeah alot of the models have been showing that gradient along the entire Mohawk Valley.
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18z Icon...
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12z EPS...
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12z EPS continuing the NW shift... albeit not as drastic as 0z, but still NW of both 0z and 6z runs.
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BGM morning update at 10am... also included rest of CNY zones in a HWO...
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Total precip and a kuchera map for kicks...
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Ccb gets to Roc on 12z. Nice bump NW. Still coming down...
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2 minutes ago, wolfie09 said:
Chasing convection?
Just looks weird lol
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Yeah definitely chasing the convection. BGM mentioned that occurring in some of the models.
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3 minutes ago, tim123 said:
Goes to crap after that. Lol
Ya gave up on it too quick Tim...
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Upstate/Eastern New York
in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Posted
Something has to give between NAM and the other global models and soon.
BGM also just made it super confusing with their first round of headlines for this event. They have Steuben under a WWA for entire duration of the 2 part storm for 4-7, then rest of the S Tier under a WWA for just the light snow associated with the primary and then a WSW for the coastal.