UMB WX

7 minutes ago, DaveNay said:

IMO it's more mid-atlantic climo than southern climo

Short jaunt to the armpit of winter weenie land, Richmond, VA.

Not sure I could handle the SE but NC has a lot to offer outdoors.  I hope you enjoy your new home.  We'll miss ya. 

well at least we're one day closer to some more mild temps the first half of next week. Kind of taking a liking to this Mid Atlantic winter climo.

MKE office just going to ride their forecast to the ground in the warning.   Hard to make drastic changes but the trends haven't been conducive to hitting their early AM update.  Their ketchup bottle is going to be empty after this event.

Waiting for, Jo Jo's - DOA

5 hours ago, H2Otown_WX said:

Yep, I'm here at the airport now. Looks like it will be predominantly rain tonight.

It was definitely a possibility parts of racine and kenosha cty could get shut out. I didn't think all of mke county would basically get shut out though. Never expected much from my place north in to mke but  an inch of slop or so didn't seem like it would be hard to come by north of me.

6pm zone forecast still rode with.  After midnight 1-2" of snow and sleet.. some  zr rain and some blowing snow possible to boot.  That was clearly not  going to materialize. 9:30 update corrected and  will make for a nice morning commute now for some that we're expecting a small mess to deal with.

That high to the NW means some business. SE Ridge is a little less plump than I'd like. Doesn't paint a pretty picture west of Lake MI. up here.

Kind of nice seeing the back end of this turd on its way out to lake mi already.  I think the euro from 12z showed this pretty good up here.

Excellent post, Ricky.  TYVM.

Playing out up here along the lake pretty much worst case scenario but that was a plausible outcome to.    Playing out like rd 1 did also did us no favors for round 2.

Still cool to see chicago back in play for a nice snowy finish.  The ones you real in last minute are always super gratifying.   

wonder if madison holds off the sleet for much longer.. Cyclone has been right on the mix line - maybe you flip  real soon?

MKE bombed their lakeside forecast

Good reminder, Cyclone.   Been awhile since we had a storm like this.

5 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Pretty marginal conditions, with the temp still hovering at 32.  Don't think the glazing will be very efficient unless the temp drops a few more degrees.  High rates are slowing it down as well.  I'm actually not worried at all about losing power, etc.  

New triple R shows about 1/4" precip falling as all snow after 22z tomorrow for here/QC.  Looks like most of the snow will fall after dark per usual.  

good to hear the glazing conditions are not ideal.   sucks this isn't sleet or snow  yet though.  you're are racking up the qpf.

Good luck the rest of tonight and round 2.

Just now, cyclone77 said:

Yeah been freezing for a little while now.  No sleet yet.

ugh hope it flips over soon for you.  

Open the windows in MI. tonight.   Last night we had a taste of that 50 at midnight here.  Now back to regular scheduled winter and 36 rain all night.

Rain commences 

looks like cyclone dipped below freezing. quick drop in 2 hrs for him.

36 and rain sounds like a theme from chicago to mke all night.. No escaping the tropical dews to the east

That was drawn up straight from, Tolland, CT.

Cutters in Flyover Country are tough on models early on in the long storm track.  Some things will never change it seems.  Track at your own risk

 Kuchera and NAM make a great couple.

Piggy piled, Hoosier. NAM looks eerie for, Cyclone.

Just like the good ole days. Multiple threats to track.

2 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

Back when we used to have D5 events to track on the reg.

Our buddy in Tosa told me he's starting  a D5 thread to track next weeks threat.

a track to cleveland is normally money for chicago.  i buy in to 3-6 

Cut the Kuch weenie map snow totals in half in far se wi and that's prob the best case outcome

How much for, Howell?