UMB WX

Ahh memories of the oct/nov snows.  Sad when we're still struggling to accumulate frozen on concrete.

Its probably going to be a decent winter yet.  It's going to be tough to shake the wet overall pattern we've been in.. Time that with the Jan/Feb climo and Bingo.   Take what you can get folks.

That's a Barney Scooter Streak.  

Happy New Year

Back pond is still open for bass fishing,   All the warm Dec days saved this from being one of the worst decembers ever.  There really was no hope for this month outside the rouge Hoosier State Miracle.

Yet my state has one of the best starts to winter in History I bet.

F our 99% winter  climo

2 minutes ago, mimillman said:

Lol what 

Snowy backsides in DTX FTW

If only we could figure out again how to get a primary track to far SE MI again we'd be chicago weenieing  it.

The inland and great lakes lack of water turnaround was about the only thing rememarable to me. 

Just a violent meh decade. I guess Detroit had some moments where they finally broke a 10" storm or something.

zzzzzzz.  outside of Morch

Just now, LansingWeather said:

Yes! I hate the sun in the winter, melts the snow in places even below freezing. This is especially true in late Feb.

ikr.. and there's not many times i've seen it snow with the sun out. Guess I could lather up in feb and catch some skin cancer rays and  50 degrees.  We fight for everything in the MW.  That's what makes being a snow weenie here so passionate.

sun in winter is so stupid... that's what vitamin D is for

meh

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

Zzzzz

Look at that LES signal

3 hours ago, RCNYILWX said:

Can say with reasonable confidence that January will be active. The big question is how persistently amplified the southeast ridging is and the placement of Aleutian/AK ridging. Getting the ridging farther east into the EPO domain could make for a more than serviceable month for central, western and northern portions of the sub. Farther south and east could certainly be dicey if this weekend and next week's possible window is not cashed in on.  The January-February 2019 500 mb composite anomaly below and sensible weather results shows that the general idea being forecast by the longer ranges of the ensembles and Euro weeklies can work out really well for portions of the sub.

 

On the other hand, a too amplified southeast ridge and Aleutian ridging too far west could make for a warm/rainy active month for much of the sub and congrats MSP and north/northwest. I don't think we can yet for sure that the MJO being forecast to go with amplitude into the warm phases makes it a lock that it'll be a trash pattern even central and west, just that the warm risk is certainly there. If I'm recalling correctly, a good chunk of last January and February was spent in the warmer MJO phases. This shows it can work out for some of us, but did also make for the bad winter farther east and southeast in the sub and points east.

 

Also, I'd much rather have an active month biased warm that at least gives a chance for things to break right for a good event than endless cold and dry. Experience shows us that for a big dog we need at least some southeast ridging. The oscillating going on in later ranges of the EPS shows that we'll be on the edge so we'll have to wait and see which way things are leaning. Finally, with the likelihood of stout low level cold air masses northwest of here and warm press from SE ridge, we'll also have to watch for sig icing events in the battleground zone, similar to last February.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Post of the decade.  until winter  officially sucks   Thanks much,  RCNYILWX  for all your contributions over the yrs.  Happy New  Years, Weenies! 

It's gonna be Cozy or snowy. SE Ridge is always music to the winter ears.

For some reason I feel pretty good about  our chances in the sub for wintry threats  as we head towards Christmas. Our Dec track record of late isn't stellar though.

A week ago the back yard pond was covered in 3" of ice. Now the weeklies say santa claus comes in on water ski's. 

This is is  Bananas.  Spreading the wealth  snowfall events since  Oct, 2019.    Stack it up November Tall Y'all. 

Nice to see what we're capable of pulling off this early, even for us challenged near, Lake Michigan. 

Congrats Madison!   Possibly pushing a foot of snow before the first week of Nov. is over.

2 hours ago, wisconsinwx said:

Measured just a tick under 4" about 15 minutes ago, with the heaviest rates being in the last couple hours.

Thought for sure you'd get me this round up by you:( 

Just what us weenies need is Oct  snow threats now!     Welcome to Winter, Weenies -  Lets Go!

Nice half hr drink of water last night and all morning today.  This month is hauling ass by. Wont be long and we'll being seeing pics of snow from, Bo and Will.

Stuck in the 50's with a decent bite to the NE wind.

Went from sweating the raisins off at 1:30pm to 50's and hoodie and shorts wx with fog rolling in off the pond.

Just had about 15 seconds of hail drop out of nowhere. Few of them larger than pea.

Good ole Wisconsin winter finally put to bed.  5 more months and we'll be searching the models for that first frost and signs of what Ole Man Winter has in store.

Was bummed being out of town but happy to come home to power and a couple three inches only.  Was looking forward to catching up in this thread and seeing incredible shots from down south but it looks like Chicago couldn't overcome climo.  Dodged a bullet up here as conditions were primed to deliver something  even more epic than 2 weeks ago's 7"

Couple snow events and light shows already this early spring.   Glad we live here