Warm Nose

You must have been fun to parent as a child

Thread Mood:

Speaking of football ...

Just confirming since I'm a bit slow: Now we're giving credence to the GFS aka 'worst verifying model' (according to earlier posts) since it shows what people want?

Current state of models:

Verifications:

They'll be grasping at the Kuchera for RAP and the like

tl;dr: ¯\_(ツ)_/¯

Current state of this sub

Supposed to leave for my cruise on the 31st! Dulles got to do some work ...

More like 666

I saw maybe 3 mangled flakes

Current thread:

You're hugging the RAP ...

My issue isn't with Kuchera itself - it's a tool that attempts to boil down the prediction of ratios into an algorithm even though there are an exponential number variables that feed into that equation. It's simplistic and flawed (as is every other model) and should be taken with a grain of salt but I understand the intention and it at least makes an attempt at prediction. Therein lies the skill of the forecaster. We do see 'lazy' forecasters (present company excluded lol) giving it a bit too much weight.

Anyone care to share actual QPF maps instead of the Kuchera nonsense?

RIP, little thing.

I grew up this area. I can remember many times going to school during a snowstorm. If it was particularly bad, sure, school got called, but none of this 'any flakes in the air = cancellation' stuff. Oh, and get off my lawn.

No Anchorman fans here, I guess. Any actual QPF maps instead of the evil Kuchera?