Warm Nose

Full sun here now - enjoy what's left of it for now

Wind is supposed to pick up and skies clear. Should dry out the roads before this evening. Judging from the satellite we're about 30 minutes from sun.

It's over here. Measured a healthy 1.7 inches and roads have a nice slushy coating still. 34/34

Unpin the thread. Again.

Lies. The developer of that model says it's sh*t.

When you're working on getting the buses into some of those hollers with the advertised rates, I can understand a little.

Agreed. Now it could backfire if it's a high impact event during the morning rush but typically marginal events don't break completely right.

This is where models won't recognize local climo. In short, it'll likely snow in areas that historically have in marginal situations, and won't in the others. This is a N/W special at best IMO.

* For Georgetown, specifically.

It was eluded to earlier in the thread, but the impetus for the sudden trend here is the HP is stronger than previously modeled?

Didn't expect them to go all-in at this point, which is probably the wise move. Still, the fact that we're almost inside of 18 hours it's kinda crazy the uncertainty.

80% of the sub after waking up:

That's odd - I had a good 4 inches here - Had 3.5 earlier in the week. And I'm only 4 miles from PVille

I was out earlier in the afternoon and despite the snow roads were just wet. Since the sun has gone down everything that was wet earlier is now frozen. The wind didn't dry things before sunset, meaning there's a lot of moisture on surfaces still. My road, which has been plowed multiple times and was bare but wet earlier, is pretty iffy now. There's gonna be tons of black ice so if you go out this evening be careful.

You missed this earlier, apparently ... URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 826 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016-018-503- /O.NEW.KLWX.WW.Y.0009.240119T0900Z-240120T0000Z/ Georgetown, including M street 826 AM EST Thu Jan 18 2024 …COLD RAIN ADVISORY UNTIL 11 AM EST FRIDAY... …COLD RAIN ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 11 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT… Cold rain expected for the duration of the event. Total rain accumulations of two-tenths of an inch. * WHERE… Georgetown. * WHEN...until 11 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel will be very wet in the affected area. Frustration levels might also peak when observing frozen precipitation in adjacent areas. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while viewing forecasted winter weather and storm observations. Slow down, walk outside and look up to verify the precipitation is in fact rain and not frozen. && $$

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