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Posts posted by BornAgain13
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0z GEFS holds serve. Looks good again
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0z CMC is still a cutter FWIW
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Not really sure what I just witnessed but an improvement over 18z. We get 1/4" of ice and 2-4" of Snow taken verbatim lol
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Just a guess, I'm thinking the 0z GFS looks better than 18z but not quite what it was before. Since the ensembles improved and the OP run was the opposite... just me guessing. I guess we will see.
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Definitely encouraging to see the 18z GEFS looking better even from 12Z! I think we all needed that after the OP run
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The GFS started out smokin and ended up Chokin
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Still a solid hit for the mountains, then an ICE Storm in the Piedmont, then Rain east of there.
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18z GFS just folded to a cutter... not a good sign, especially since it was looking similar earlier in the run
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Not gonna be as good of a run this time... a little warmer... with more ice to...
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Good news after 12z runs, the GFS did better than the EURO last Winter... bad news is, this ain't last winter. Would love to see the GFS continue its onslaught but until the Euro jumps on board, I ain't honking the horn just yet...
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I'm honestly not surprised with the Euro and GFS being so different. We've seen this many times. As much as I love what the gfs is showing, it is on an island at the moment. Will see if it stays consistent
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I'm very cautious about going with the GFS/GEFS, until the Euro gets on board.
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Wow another big run by the GFS!! 20-24" imby taken verbatim. I do have concerns of why the cmc is just rain but let's see what the Euro shows.
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Hate not seeing the Euro have much to offer but the 6z GFS stick has it, although not as much. Still a solid 2-4" for a lot of the Carolinas and Virginia
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Geez...multiple days in the 20s after the storm taking the gfs verbatim.
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Geez... don't look at day 9/10 on Oz GFS. Another big Snow!!
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That's a solid widespread snowstorm. More realistic than the 12z run.
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974 off of Norfolk @ HR 189
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Another solid run from the 0z GFS!
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18z GEFS
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Correct but the storm doesn't really come until after hr 174That may be so but I am just doing a basic observation off the lead-in 2m and 850mb temps, both went up for hr162
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The 18z GEFS ain't got to that hour yet. Hold ya horses lolLooks like the GEFS is going to take a step back too
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And again, this snow would remain on the ground for a white Christmas. Very cold after the storm, if it happens.
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No run is gonna be as good as the 12z. The fact that the signal is there, (big storms get sniffed out early), is awesome.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2022
in Southeastern States
Posted
0z GEFS
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