BornAgain13

I just went back and read the thread. The Nam/navgem led the way on that one. Gfs and euro had nothing for us 2 days before the event.

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18z GFS has caved to the Euro. Dr. No is back.

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What’s everyone gut tell them about 12z Euro? More disappointment or throws us a bone and a middle of the road solution? 

If the Euro don't show much today, we may have to chalk this one up as a win for the Euro.

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Windshield wiper effect!

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We’re so back 

Big changes on the GFS. Few inches of snow and ICE in southern VA!

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Hopefully the beginning of very positive trends today 

Another solid run by the 18z EPS for next week... 0z Runs will be interesting....

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Models always struggle with overrunning precip here.  I go back to the Dec 2017 storm where a stream of moisture setup similar to what the Euro shows now.  We got 9".  Honestly... looking at the skew T, moisture is in the snow growth zone per 12z Euro from early Monday through Tuesday around Asheville.  Temp barely goes above freezing as well during that time period.  You can clearly see the models struggling with this, but I am giving WNC pretty good odds right now to see snow accumulation of some kind Monday and into Tuesday.

The EPS does look improved for western NC up through VA

If u want a look of a Miller A, look at the EPS for next week.... big signal for a snowstorm, Northern NC and points north

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Definitely looking more interesting next week. Euro showing an ice storm here with some snow then sustained cold air.

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Euro is another swing and miss for most 

Would love to start seeing some promising runs soon... I know it's early but if we don't cash in with this pattern coming up then the clock will be ticking.

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Am I remembering correctly that the Canadian models typically have a cold bias? I know the NAM does, but I feel like the Canadian suite does this sort of ice storm bell-ringing pretty often. 
 
Fram says no issues Saturday. 

I guess the question is now, how much ICE could the CAD areas get before it changes to rain?

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Still could be a decent storm for us in VA... the High Pressure continues to strengthen... still plenty of time..

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GFS good snow storm here in VA, CMC is a major ICE storm... Euro will be interesting

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18z GEFS much better than the OP... hopefully it continues.

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GFS isn't even close. Its trending way north. Could be more of a severe threat for deep south than anything 

18z GFS a little to warm outside of the Mts for next weekend but the 18z GEFS trended colder with a minor event. Should be an interesting system to track.

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Both gfs and icon are out to sea.

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The op stunk but the Ensembles were amazing

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Never say Never.

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