BornAgain13
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Posts posted by BornAgain13
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18z GFS still has the storm around the 5th. Not as impressive as the 6z but will be something to watch.
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Looks like the next system misses to the north but we may get some ZR in Southern VA.... both NAMS showing it.
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14" at Beech Mountain! Wow.
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How much do u think Lovers Leap will get? They are about 3200' ElevationStill plenty of flurries in Stuart VA. 1,400 ft elev. Taking on a little more width and looking like flakes.
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It's unbelievableTotal for both systems. After all the rain, we can't buy any moisture with the cold.thumb.png.c25e9d1dbf5ab7be520c4dc553a8e1ee.png)
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This thing has definitely trended to a Mid-Atlantic storm... that forum is enjoying it!
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Not looking promising on any of the short range models... everything has significantly shifted north...
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Just about all the short range are to far north... wonder if it plays out like that...RAP.thumb.png.1ed20f6b009c93e4b6ce52084863f7e2.png)
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0z HRRR went way north
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Can u give an example of comparing it?HRRR is further south this run and it still isn’t accurately depicting the current radar trends.
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18z GFS was solid but it definitely trended NW to... unfortunately it looks like the models are trending that way...
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Latest HRRR went north... here we go again...
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Any clue why the RAP jumped much further North or is it just noise?
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Ground temps shouldn't be an issue. They are cold and getting colder tonight and tomorrow. There's 1 positive...
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1 thing that hasn't been mentioned is the ground temps. They are pretty cold and will get colder tonight and tomorrow... whatever falls Monday/Tuesday should begin sticking right away.
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0z ICON is solid.
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Seems to me most guidance is trending south on what the Euro/GFS been showing.
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FWIW, the SREF shifted south from the last run.
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Definitely trending south on the NAM. May be where most want it at come 6z.
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Not really sure how that finger of snow pours right over MBY in Southern VA... but I'll take the outcome lol
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Well, Well Well...all 3 now showing it crossing the mountains.... hopefully we see it like that going forward
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RGEM looked like it was about to get going FWIW.
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0z RGEM looked like it was about to get going!
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Looking at the 0z NAM.... the NC mountains have a STOP sign up telling the blue it can't cross the line.
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Mid to Long Range Discussion ~ 2024
in Southeastern States
Posted
FWIW, the 6z GFS OP was a miss but.... the 6z GEFS was a big hit!
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