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dj3

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Everything posted by dj3

  1. Yea it’s going to be a different storm than what we’re used to for sure. Just had on Kdka and they mentioned 1-2” per hr rates later this afternoon so we’ll see.
  2. I’d be surprised if the radar doesn’t start filling in quite a bit in the next few hours. Back to some small flakes reaching the ground right now.
  3. Good luck central/Eastern pa peeps! Waking up in Pittsburgh with not much on the ground, we’ll see what happens the rest of the way.
  4. Yea I am surprised I woke up to about 80 flakes on my porch and nothing else. Hopefully the radar fills in, it does look like garbage at the moment.
  5. It seems to go against the theory that we want a stronger primary that holds on longer but like those who are more knowledgeable have been saying it’s walking a fine line with that and mixing. For me at least I’m worried about not getting enough precip thrown our way
  6. Wow that looks really good. I’m more concerned with a dryslot vs the temperatures for my backyard. The gfs has been consistently too warm and has been slowly trending back towards other guidance for the last several runs.
  7. Slowly moving in the right direction though. I think earlier today it wasn’t showing much at all. It seems as if guidance is honing in on 4 inches or so as the low end.
  8. Looks like the bleeding stopped for now at least. Id take that and run
  9. Primary looks like it is dying in a good spot on the 12z Euro, this should be decent.
  10. As depicted it sucks but I think it is taking a step towards the euro has far as the coastal being tucked in. We need it to be wrong on the warmth it brings with the primary though for sure. It is the most bullish on precip for sure.
  11. Euro hits us with the initial WAA and pulls the coastal low inland after transferring. Pretty much everything we needed to happen, now the question is how realistic would that be? Great overnight trends either way though.
  12. I agree, nice to see everything coming on board for at least a few inches.
  13. The Euro doesn't give us any front end love from the dying primary like the GFS and GGEM both do.
  14. Much better than the 12z run yesterday at least our donut hole filled in with some dark blue.
  15. GFS and GGEM both looking in the 4-8 inch range which you guys mentioned yesterday.
  16. The EPS shows a decent number of moderate hits but the big potential does seem to be east of us by a good amount.
  17. Primary weakens enough that very little precip makes it to us. Coastal gets cranking early this run but doesn't throw much snow back past south central PA. Looks like a huge hit for DC though on this run. ETA: Actually looks like it crawls slowly up and off the coast so it appears DC-BOS get hit pretty good. Snow map won't be pretty on this for western PA
  18. Quite the messy looking set up on the GFS. I am guessing we want the primary low to be limited in how far north it travels before transferring, while also rooting for the secondary development to be tucked. Probably a good reason miller B's don't often produce big totals here haha.
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