Normandy

agreed nobody should mention that glorified Nor’easter when we speak of real cyclones

This hot tower going up gotta be one of the wildest I’ve seen 

We should allow those types of discussions.  The radar attenuation argument was one of the funniest I’ve read

https://www.barbadosweather.org/Composite/kidbuuComposite_Lionel_displayer2.php?Product=Reflectivity&Sector=EC_Bar&Composite=Sabre&ANISP=50&MAPP=1&PlanetOfTheApes=58710
 

center is very well defined On Barbados radar.  Seems to be also racing westward

Nailed it Windspeed.  It looks like a squall line with the wake low tagging behind it.  The low level flow to the south is also beginning to be tugged north as well.  Seems to be developing nicely but slowly

Eta is pounding Nicaragua.  I was sure it would be inland by now

Big winds now starting to come out to play

This is one of the funniest weather moments of my life.  Glad I could share it with yall

LMAO

It's rotating so fast it looks like the damn lighting strikes are being thrown around the eyewall. 

Windspeed that shit is not safe for work....got me sweating looking at it

Just now, BYG Jacob said:

Waiting for the one person that thinks this isn't a category 5

You have a whole bunch of them at the NHC.  I kid I kid

5 minutes ago, the ghost of leroy said:

Everyone relax and act like you’ve done this before.

Its a five but probably not nuclear five. That CDO still could have more symmetry and the eye is still improving. Go back and look at Haiyan and Patricia before you disrespect the greats with absurd guesses. 

Look man I hear you....but every single storm I've seen that looks this vicious has been either sub 900 or 180+ mph.  We shall see soon

Revising my call.  883 mbs. 160 knots.  New record holder.

Looks to nasty on satellite to ignore.

Just now, jpeters3 said:

I'm going sub-900.  895.

That's what I wanted to say but I'm too chickenshit

We are at the point now where I think the question isn't if it's a category 5 anymore....the question is how strong of a Cat 5 it is.  On pins and needles waiting for recon now.  My guess: 155 knots.  904 mb.

Might be a troichoidal wobble, but in general its westward motion has stopped/stalled for now

One interesting trend I am seeing today is this is diving southward further east.  Not sure if it has any implications on future track (perhaps a pro met / knowledgeable poster can chime in)

NHC is behind bigtime on current intensity

I think the long wait for our nuclear carribean hurricane might be over.  IR is looking quite vicious right now

My question:  What turns it west like that?  Its recurving and then it stops on a dime right before it hits Florida

This is one of the craziest recoveries I have ever seen from a cane crossing the Yucatan.  This morning it was a naked swirl and now has multiple hot towers/mesos rotating around a closed eye.  Wild stuff.

Just observing the convection rotating much faster around the eye now, I think they find some big winds. 

Actually has a formative eyewall on radar now.  

Making declarations on lower flooding potential for a slow moving / stalling system in the gulf seems odd.  Rainfall amounts are not tied to windspeed in any way...unless you are thinking the storm will be a eastern heavy system throughout it's life?

Latest tracks are wild for this one.  GFS hits corpus and Houston both from the east...so 2020