Hoosier

Good point. Didn't think of that at the time. Either way, most of the data from Indiana and elsewhere is pointing to an IFR between 0.5% and 1%... on average. Some areas may be less and others may be higher.

Did you get the swab from hell or something less invasive?

A dry month? Can it be? Seriously? Really? I do put less stock in the precip progs in general but especially at this time of year because convection can quickly ramp up amounts.

Some guy in Indiana is trolling Michigan with these billboards. https://www.wlns.com/news/national/indiana-billboards-poke-fun-at-michigan-coronavirus-restrictions/amp/

We could use more rain.

That is true... there were more tests conducted than average, which is why I mentioned the 18% positive test rate from that batch of results. That is not a good percentage... you want it to be in the single digits. But again, it's one day.

Big increase in new cases in my county... I think it might be the highest day total yet but if not it's close. Almost tied Marion county in new cases despite us having half of their population. The positive percentage rate on this new round of results was just under 18%, which is actually a bit higher than the long-term positive percentage rate in my county (which is just under 16%). It is one day and hopefully the numbers/rates are better in the coming days.

Beaches in Indiana were packed this weekend. And I called the bolded like 2 months ago, lol PORTER COUNTY, Ind. (WLS) -- Thousands of people packed the Indiana beaches Sunday and the park rangers at the Indiana Dunes National Park is expecting more of the same Monday. "Yesterday was insane," beachgoer Chris Tsampis said. "I have not seen it like that unless it was on the 4th of July honestly." Tsampis said he and his brother left the Porter Beach because it was just too crowded. "We came on motorcycles and it was backed up four to five miles so we ended up just leaving and going to Michigan City for a bite to eat," he said. "Most of them were Illinois license plates. Makes sense. From Chicago probably." John Pierre Anderson, a supervisory ranger of the Indiana Dunes National Park said his team expected the rush, but managing those large crowds during a pandemic was overwhelming. "Oh my. Definitely thousands of people. Our big concern was that they just were not social distancing at all," Anderson said. Anderson and his team do their best to remind people of the social distancing guidelines while on the beach that stretches 15 miles across the dunes state and national parks. Rangers say dozens of cars were parked illegally because the spots were all full. "It was crazy," Anderson said. "A lot of people out here. Parking lots filled by 9 a.m. https://abc7chicago.com/illinois-coronavirus-indiana-wisconsin-beaches/6210385/

Daily hospitalizations went up in the week of May 17-23 after trending down prior to that. Not a good sign, and it could mean that deaths sort of plateau if not rise sometime in June especially if we get another week or two of this.

My uncle's friend died from the virus. 55 years old and according to my uncle, no underlying health conditions. Unfortunately it wouldn't surprise me if we get to the point where most of us know or know of someone who got seriously ill or died from it.

imo, this is the best tornado threat in the LOT cwa since Memorial Day 2019.

00z runs look pretty decent. I guess if I had to nitpick, it would be the low-mid level flow. It's good enough for an organized severe threat (incl tornadoes) but perhaps on the lower side of adequate.

I mean, I agree with not hyping up everything, but I think a slight risk would've been justified on a day 2 update in this case. We aren't taking about mod/high.

lol, I was kinda smiling as I typed it. He posts about the Midwest as if he's some longtime resident of the south and he's been in SC for what, 10 minutes? Just a little funny.

This model projection for Cook county is nasty. 11k deaths by early Aug. Hopefully it comes in lower... way lower. https://covid19-projections.com/us

Boy, South Carolina sounds like a magical place. Does it rain gold there too?

Indianapolis area reported the highest number of new cases, as is always the case. However, the new deaths actually tied in Marion and Lake counties, which is very unusual because Marion pretty much always has the highest deaths.

Be careful with your memorial day gatherings folks.

IN had one of its highest new case numbers since this all began, and the highest number since May 5. BUT, the positive test rate was about 9%. That is not ideal but it continues the recent trend of getting around/under 10%.

It won't rank up there with the nicer Mays.

Hard to keep driving the case numbers down as more and more things reopen. The good news is that there hasn't been a spike in raw case numbers and the positive test percentage is trending down. With most of Indiana starting to reopen 16 days ago, this is about the time when you would start to look at the data to see if reopening has had any impact (lag time due to incubation period, time to get tested and get the results) but the 4-6 week mark may be a better indicator since more people will have been going out and about more for a longer period of time by then. Barbers/salons opened up 2 days ago in my county. I passed by a Great Clips and the line was out the door. Looked like most/all people were wearing masks.

Florida If ever there's a question about which state, guess Florida https://cbs12.com/news/local/woman-who-designed-floridas-covid-19-dashboard-has-been-removed-from-her-position

There is a documentary about Dr. Fujita on PBS tonight. https://www.pbs.org/wgbh/americanexperience/films/mr-tornado

I refuse to wear a winter coat at this time of year. I don't care if it's 30 degrees.

Is that really the case? The covid fatality rate seems to be lower than flu for the younger age groups (0-20, and maybe 21-39) but higher than flu for the older ages. I suppose it would be trickier to sort out if you only look at deaths of "healthy" people. If you are 5 pounds overweight, does that qualify as a pre-existing condition?