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Runman292

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Everything posted by Runman292

  1. Thankfully, the power only flickered for a few seconds at my place. I did hear a tree fall on my property during the storm.
  2. Another Tornado Warning in southern Cumberland county.
  3. It’s been 16 years since the northwestern California coast has seen a Tornado Warning. Incredible!
  4. Please let this happen. We’re overdue for a good snow.
  5. In the latest update, the enhanced risk didn’t shift west, but it did expand west some. Here’s the latest from the SPC: ...Mid and upper Ohio Valley and central Appalachians, southward into the Southeast... A semi-continuous, roughly north-south band of thunderstorms is expected to be ongoing at the start of the period, extending from southeastern Indiana/southwestern Ohio southward to the Alabama/western Florida Panhandle coasts; while this will likely be a period of relative minimum in severe risk, local risk for damaging winds/hail, and possibly a tornado or two, will likely be ongoing. As the airmass ahead of this initial band destabilizes into the afternoon, storms are expected to reintensify. Damaging winds and some tornado risk may spread across the middle and into the upper Ohio Valley through the afternoon with this band of storms. Meanwhile near and east of the southern Appalachians, reintensification of convection in this band may become more cellular in organization. Given favorably strong flow through the lower and middle troposphere contributing to strong shear, this more cellular storm mode would support risk for a few tornadoes, along with locally damaging winds and some hail. In the wake of this initial band of storms, modest destabilization is expected, likely leading to development of a second band of storms nearer the surface cold front. As this band of storms crosses the middle Ohio Valley/Mid South region, severe risk is anticipated, with damaging winds and tornadoes both possible given the very strong shear residing atop the pre-frontal boundary layer. Risk in any area will be somewhat storm-mode dependent, with a mix of cellular and banded structures possible within the north-south zone ahead of the front.
  6. Not sure where to put this, so I’ll put it here. Is there a website or 2 that can help me understand meteorology more? I see several folks involved in very detailed weather discussions, and I kinda feel left out just following the models and not taking part in the discussions.
  7. Playing devil’s advocate here in regards to watches not being taken serious by the general public: In the case of East TN, a good chunk of Tornado and even Severe Thunderstorm Watches that have been issued for the area end up being unnecessary. A big part of that is due to the storms weakening over the plateau and the instability and wind shear rarely seem to be favorable at the same time in the region. It’s gotten to the point that because a lot of the watches in recent years have turned out to be false alarms, it can give the average person the idea of “Well, they seem to issue watches often and nothing bad ends up happening. Why should I take them serious?” So, I understand why some people are skeptical about the watches.
  8. Tornado warning issued for Rhea and Bledsoe counties.
  9. SPC has extended the enhanced risk to western parts of east TN.
  10. I think they underestimated yesterday's system in regards to the Southern Valley. No watches were issued south of Loudon county and that part of TN seemed to get hit the worst.
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