MUWX
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Everything posted by MUWX
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I wouldn’t write this area off yet
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@Quincy is 5 miles south west of Soto per twitter. No major damage.
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They could easily go special outlook high risk but there isn’t really a point
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Storm 1 looks to be weakening some. Will it be able to cycle?
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It looks like it’s going to go north or laurel. Which is a sliver of good news
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Not to my knowledge. Just saw it posted on twitter that he was just south of it
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I believe @Quincy is closing in on this storm
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The lack of CC drop is the reason for the question, but latest scan shows we may have one now.
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Velocity is a mess. If that was on the ground, I feel like we would be seeing a TDS by now
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I think this one is about to put on a show again
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Twins?
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I don’t totally understand why the SPC tries to estimate the intensity of ongoing tornadoes in MDs
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We may have dueling long track tornadoes in southern miss. Hattiesburg is not out of the woods yet.
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Bassfield could be is trouble. Luckily it’s small
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McComb certainly looks like it’s on the ground. May be big
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The McComb storm appears to be reorganizing at the moment. This could be a big one shortly.
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They had to keep it moderate imo. If they let that up, and word gets around to people who don’t pay attention, they will let their guard down. When in reality we could be moving into a very Dangerous/deadly Tornado event with a prolific nighttime tornado event.
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It isn’t a 95% all hazard watch though
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Could spacing be a limiting factor with those?
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What’s crazy about that run of the HRRR is, is that as bad as it looks, it’s likely not the ceiling.
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Yeah, that’s really the only option. There is very little argument to be made for a day 1 high at this point. It could change later, but I just don’t see it right now.
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Mentioned increasing wind probs. But unless they hatch, it won’t be a wind driven high risk.
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They seem to be running a little late with the update
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I don’t see any reason that there would be many differences from the prior update.
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Goes back to what the Birmingham NWS Met posted earlier as well.
