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Sciascia

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Everything posted by Sciascia

  1. Sciascia
    It snowed 6 inches in Poplar Grove right after Christmas, and it hasn’t gotten warm enough to melt to unbury the Christmas lawn inflatable that’ll be further buried under the snow & ice tonight.
  2. Sciascia
    Can “Drier But Still Fine” be the name for this winter storm?
  3. Sciascia
    GFS continues to love lake enhancement for northern Cook & Lake counties.
  4. Sciascia
  5. Sciascia
    Awaiting the continuing reality of “<Model> is <north/south> and drier.”
  6. Sciascia
    As long as it hits 6 inches, which feels like a fairly safe bet to make, it’ll hit the low end of LOT’s current forecast. Doesn’t seem likely to hit double digits around town, which is a shame considering that was the prediction I decided to make yesterday.
  7. Sciascia
  8. Sciascia
    How chaotic are we to interpret these runs since it’s yet another cycle without balloon data?
  9. Sciascia
    One more gif map of 12z HRRR/
  10. Sciascia
    12z HRRR
  11. Sciascia
  12. Sciascia
    Based solely on WxBell maps, seems a bit drier for NE IL. Central & northern Cook down 3+ inches from the same spot on 18z
  13. Sciascia
    Well, seems a bit obvious to say; but two words anyone hopes not to see on the first set of sampled data runs are probably “south” and “weak.” GFS up next.
  14. Sciascia
    Snow amounts on the run so far in N/NE IL are a bit lesser than they were in 18z at 60hrs. But, as previously stated, this storm could be a case of old school meteorology being more useful than computer amounts.
  15. Sciascia
    NAM is running, which means the 0z train has started. Here’s to model watching, gents.
  16. Sciascia
    Appreciate the knowledge dropping. Given what’s been said & how the models are shaping this one up, I’ll go ahead and predict that ORD & Chicago downtown (ALEK territory) hits double digits. My house in Poplar Grove may also hit double digits, which my wife will just be “thrilled” by.
  17. Sciascia
    At 72hrs & still snowing
  18. Sciascia
    I start work in 10 minutes. Not sure when I’ll be able to check in again, but please don’t get to a part 3 without me.
  19. Sciascia
    Snow numbers around Chicago & lakeside just keep slowing ticking upward as the run goes on
  20. Sciascia
    Low looks a few hairs NW on 12z GFS compared to 6z
  21. Sciascia
    No matter the solution, hopefully ORD has corrected their recent track record of 2-inches-lower-than-measured-a-block-away snowfall measurement issues.
  22. Sciascia
    As an optimistic person, I love to see the optimism! However, I would probably never ever “count on” a snowstorm that’s not in the northeast dumping 20(+) inches of snow. I wasn’t even confident that GHD 1 was going to verify to the kinda-sorta way it did.
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  25. Sciascia
    I haven’t been around as much this season, but it feels like it’s been a long time since you got walloped. So I hope you get this one.
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