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so_whats_happening

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    KLNS
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    Lancaster, PA

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  1. so_whats_happening
    The difference in overall depth of the warm anomalies looks to be an artifact of the -PDO still being around. During the 2023-24 Nino this was centered around 130-140W. We also are lacking a significant negative anomaly region developing near the Dateline. I gotta ask the question though are we seeing Nino take on a new form with SSTs the way they are globally?
  2. so_whats_happening
    Im not going to play catch up since I have last been on here but here is TAO from May through July 4th, I'll be taking out May next update around mid month.
  3. so_whats_happening
    If anyone finds discrepancies in the numbers please let me know. For the deductions for June I picked 7 stations to knock down 1 point and 6 stations for RJay.
  4. so_whats_happening
    Im honestly debating on the late entries for this month (July) as it stands these are the forecasts and the what coinciding late entry percentages look like. Ill maul it over and if see if anyone else wants to chime in about it. Ill see if I can also do a quick update for max temps and where they stand thus far in a week or so.
  5. so_whats_happening
    Ok sorry for the delay got back on the 4th and was bombarded by storms, lost power and internet. Then yesterday we had flash flooding still no power, hope it comes back tomorrow. We had very little movement in numbers. We had a few late entries and they are marked with * 1% for those affected most were 7 points off RJAY ended up only 6 points off the original total so not much of a difference. I included a consensus number to both GaWx and Stormchaserchuck for the months they were missing to get an idea if they had played through where they would stand in the far right column.
  6. so_whats_happening
    @Rjay @GaWx I think are the only 2 that have not submitted. Up to folks how they want to handle the late entries (quite a few by just a few hours). Ill be back early on the 5th so I should be able to post updates, iffy connection at times so hopefully this goes through. Happy 4th everyone!
  7. so_whats_happening
  8. so_whats_happening
    DCA: +3.0 NYC: +2.3 BOS: +2.1 ORD: +3.2 ATL: +2.1 IAH: +1.8 DEN: +2.5 PHX: +1.6 SEA: +2.1
  9. so_whats_happening
    Sorry I probably should have worded it a bit better. They are Max temps for the entire summer at those locations.
  10. so_whats_happening
    Good morning folks please place July forecasts below when you get the chance with the typical deadline of July 1st by 6z. I will be away for vacation from the 28th to the 5th of July so Ill do my best to compile all the values when I get back then. Ill try to do a quick update before I leave of what the results of June will look like around Friday (26th) since there shouldn't be major changes that occur.
  11. so_whats_happening
  12. so_whats_happening
    Here are the Max Temp forecasts
  13. so_whats_happening
    A lot of this gets lost in the miasma of whatever happens in this thread. Thanks and I agree while records could be set if things set up perfectly that contrast west to east is important in overall effects we will see in the CONUS. We have not been able to get the contrast of warm east cool west of the tropical Pacific for awhile. I would like to think a quicker onset of the Nino might play a role in the winter outcome as well.
  14. so_whats_happening
    So when can we start to discuss the differences between how these two similiarish ENSO events will evolve?
  15. so_whats_happening
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