hardypalmguy

WI is a severe weather graveyard.


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1 hour ago, Baum said:

I'm worried we've skipped the feel of an early summer capped heat dome and gone into a late august soup of humidity and clouds.

we definitely skipped spring again this year.

59 here with a screaming wind off the lake. 

13 hours ago, Chambana said:

Rain and overcast returning by the end of next week? Really hope we don’t have a summer 2009 redux. 

Summer 2009 was el nino.  That's not happening this year.

Another turd day of clouds and upper 40s in southern WI today. ‍


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Made it to 61 today under mostly cloudy skies. Thank goodness that rain crap stayed south.


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52 minutes ago, frostfern said:

Yea, northwest Wisconsin.  Still looks boring for Michigan :(.  Retrograding subtropical cutoff eats up the ridge from the east with no fanfare.  zzzzzzzz

Northwest WI will be in the Lake Superior freezer belt.  Same with eastern Wisconsin as the front stalls south of us.  Wonder if it even makes it north Mon/Tues or if we get a 1 day wonder shot of heat on Thursday before back to craptastic spring.

Monday through Thursday:

An unusually impressive 588-591DM mid/upper level ridge will evolve
across the area with an increase in warmth/higher dew points. While
the mid level ridge builds we will have to keep a close eye on
the lower levels as there are some indications a front will drop
into the area towards mid week with some storm chances and alter
the thermal field somewhat. The front, should it sag south of the
area Wednesday, could then return on Thursday renewing the well
above normal temps. At this time south central Wisconsin has the
higher probs of seeing the 80 plus temps given the lake influence
that could come into play to a greater extent in the east.

well, it would be well above normal.

maybe the warm front will stall at the border and you can sit in the 40’s all week instead.

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:

7 consecutive days of 70’s/80’s around MKE is the new ‘squashed south’.

in the words of alek, tth.

We had that in March 2012.  Two months later isn't anything special.

It's not all ORD.  Look north.  The heat is squashed south.

18 hours ago, frostfern said:

The models show the ridge shooting up past James Bay.  It could hit 90 in Northern Ontario with what's being shown.  At least any areas where the soil is sufficiently dry.

Latest models squash this thing before it even gets going.

Latest model suite is really suppressing the heat next week.  No more torch.

13 minutes ago, Chicago Storm said:

how’s that working for you now?

that’s why it’s ENS>OP at this range for overall pattern recognition.

Guess it's time to plant some palm trees. 

1 hour ago, A-L-E-K said:

honestly contemplating adding a couple to our courtyard

needle palms are the way to go.

15 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

gfs looks fine

South of the border, sure.

13 minutes ago, Baum said:

model hugger vs. pattern recognition. Who ya got?

This pattern has been garbage for last 60 days.

2 hours ago, Torchageddon said:

That's more like it. 

Don't get too excited.  GFS is the light beer version of that at best.

1 hour ago, Chicago Storm said:

I was wondering when some of you would start mentioning the positive flip we’re going to see.

GFS is modest warmth at best and then shuts it down as quickly as it moves in.

More endless clouds and garbage weather.  I swear May is now a cloudier month than November or December.

May 1 and it's 47F outside. Feels like late March. 
With the exception of tomorrow the entire week is expected to be in the 50's. . What is this crap?

Great start to May!  Heavy overcast, 30mph winds again, and afternoon temps in the 40s. 

More 40s and rain this week. Endless garbage. Not any signs of leafing out yet.


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One of the annoying things if you're watching the 850 mb maps.  I usually figure +10 C or more means at least 70, but then you have bunch of convection passing by to the south and you're socked in with that shallow cold cloudy layer and sitting at 48 F despite +12 C at 850.  Ugly shallow inversion just north of the warm front always happens.

Here we go weenies.  May will produce more snow than December did.

19 hours ago, StormchaserChuck! said:

DCA +2.0 NYC +1.5 BOS +1.5 ORD +3.0 ATL +2.0 IAH +2.0 DEN +2.5 PHX +2.5 SEA +1.5

How are you seeing a ridge in the Great Lakes but NWS is showing a trough?