Itstrainingtime

1.29" of rain here just before midnight. Pouring rain currently.

Wind driven rain and 36. So far .32" in the bucket.

Rain and 37. Hoping to pick up 1" tonight.

Snowing in Maytown!

Yes sir, score the 12z Euro OP run in the win column for Heisy. Storm ends up going through the Hoosier state.

Just don't sleep until he posts again.

Hoffman with a great post in the MA thread about the pattern and keeping expectations in line.

Yep, most likely right.

GEFS looks fuking amazing. The pattern is epic - with each passing day the odds increase that somewhere in the east is going to get plastered. GFS OP run was far different than it's ensembles. LOL

Truer words have not been spoken today.

Wow! Still looks like it's about an hour away here - temp is still at 44. Not expecting much accumulation here.

You're going to drive yourself crazy following OP runs. They are literally all over the place.

MU pretty bullish on tonight's rains - up to 1.5" of water in a few locations. 1" of rain for most of us.

Clouds are in the process of lowering here now; however, the temp is already up to 44. LOL

Damn - Wes (usedtobe) has made an appearance in the MA thread - NOW it's starting to get real. He hardly ever pops in any longer.

It's been 2 weeks since I started talking about the 3/10 - 3/20 time period. Almost all of you (but not everyone) thought I was crazy...it's just nice to see a large storm of significance showing up on more more models now for that time period. It beats the hell out of the almost complete shutout pattern we've had for MOST of the past 2 years.

This has come a LONG way just over the past 48 hours - still work to do...but the players are on the field:

Amazing numbers for the 1958 storm Paul...wasn't it not far from your location that Morgantown received something like 50" from that storm? Imagine getting 19" and feeling like you missed out.

Randy's was priceless. LOL

Talk about not just relying on models when making forecasts - almost everything I looked at had me getting to the mid to upper 60s by 3pm today. At 4:15pm I'm at my high for the day thus far at 56...

PSU talking 1958 in the MA thread...

This should help you out: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Snow

What a maverick you are!

And that's why I'm excited. In mid March I don't want 3" of taters that melt in 45 minutes. It's time for big game hunting.

Wild swings in OP runs are not unusual...I think that becomes even more magnified in March. There is going to be a push of cold air - and the energy potential seems very high. We don't have a long window but with each day I become more and more convinced that there will be a big storm in the east. What that translates to in our area is still a long way off from being decided. This is the first time I've been excited in 2 years...but trust me, I know very well that you can't shovel potential. We're still going to need some luck.