Itstrainingtime

During the 90 or so days of met winter, my heat was on a total of 24 nights, AC ran 11 nights, the remainder of the winter I didn't have to run anything. Mammoth is hoping to stay open all year - they currently have a 219 - 263" base (which is growing as we speak) but more importantly, there is over 70" of water in the snowpack. It's not going anywhere anytime soon.

Just now getting the first precip of the day here at work - light rain and 40.

I should have mentioned the caveat to my total - my wife assumed measurements this year as everything fell while I as at work. So it's an official unofficial total. LOL So...Blizz will say that it hasn't been THAT bad?

Good thing we live in the era of the GPS - some out of towners are causing issues with fender benders and such - virtually every business in town is not visible from the road...simply can't see anything other than ginormous walls of snow. At least if you know a specific destination you can plug it in which helps in those cases, but someone perusing for a meal or other venue on a whim is pretty much driving blindly.

Shout out to Roundtop - how they kept going until now is truly remarkable. Whitetail closed for the season in February...

2.1" for me - of which, I've seen 0" while at home. The only times it snowed this entire season, I was at work. I have never in 57 years gone an entire season without seeing SOME snow on the ground at some point at my casa.

GFS is...less than inspiring for the early week threat. Really strung out piece of garbage that strengthens enough to give eastern NE some love. But it's weaker than the Euro, and most importantly...much weaker where it could help us.

Looks more like a Miller Lite.

MU > CTP?

Mammoth picked up 14" of snow overnight - expecting 4-7 feet additional snowfall into tomorow night, than another 2-5 feet of snow Monday through Wednesday AM.

I'm allowing myself one single sports post - Flyers just fired their GM. YES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Nothing down here in the rolling hills of southern Manor Township.

Uh...yes it does...

As we try and grapple with the early week storm, it's going to be very difficult to pin down exact details. Even if I was in northern NJ or SE NY I'd still be leery of this thing doing a reversal and leaving them grasping for snow. Someone's going to get knocked out pretty good I think.

@Mount Joy Snowman - I think (gulp) part of the problem (and there's more than one issue) is that looking at the progression, the low itself doesn't "bomb out" until it gets to our latitude or even north of here. Sometimes low pressure will hit the east coast and immediately undergo "bombogeniisis" but in this case, the storm very gradually strengthens before it's too late for us. If it were to bomb out off the NC coast I'd believe it would be dynamic enough to yank those air temps down quickly.

I'll take the moisture - might not be in the form that we want, but we still need it going forward.

Update from MU for Monday...and not a good update: My thoughts on this system remain the same as on Tuesday with one exception. Instead of arriving late Sunday night, precipitation may now arrive as early as Sunday afternoon or evening. Given the high March sun angle and precipitation onset time around or shortly after peak heating hours, this is just more bad news for snow-lovers. To make a long story short, I'm now quite bearish on the prospects of accumulating snow Sunday afternoon into Monday morning, but it's still too early to completely rule out the possibility.

Today is a new day. I had a very rough day personally yesterday but in a better frame of mind this morning. Hopefully one of the many pieces of energy rotating east can get us over the next couple of weeks.

How did you have access to model runs back then?

Yet another kick in the nuts for Lanco.

Razor sharp western cutoff that was modeled to be 50-75 miles too far west. I filed that away for future reference - that was not the first time that happened in Lanco...I think it was March 2001 (?) we were forecast to receive up to 2 feet of snow...ended up with 2' of partly cloudy.

Ukie also has the Monday/Tuesday storm - looking at the maps for the Ukie, the first thing that comes to mind is the Boxing Day debacle about 10-12 years ago when I saw flurries, Philly received 8", and most of NJ had between 20-30". (forecast for Lanco for that storm was for 6-12" and we were under a Winter Storm Warning the morning of the storm...but I saw nothing but a few scattered flakes)

CTP vs. Elliott - the showdown is hours away!

(1/4) For snow-lovers in south-central PA, tomorrow's storm isn't it. There are just too many things "wrong" with the setup. First, surface temps tomorrow afternoon are going to be in the mid 30s N/W of I-81 to low 40s along the MD Line.. too high for much if any snow to stick.. (2/4) Next, a rain/snow mix will overspread the Lower Susquehanna Valley from southwest-to-northeast between ~7-11 AM before changing over to rain from south-to-north after midday. Here's the problem: precip prior to midday should generally be on the light side.. (3/4) Any AM light snow will struggle to overcome the strong March sun and high ground temps, making accumulation difficult if not impossible. Finally, the upper-level low (ULL) will track just to our north, and colder air/steadier precip are found north/east of a ULL's center.. (4/4) To sum it up, roadways will just be wet tomorrow.. great news for motorists! Areas S/E of I-76/Rt 15 will struggle to receive a coating of snow on non-paved surfaces, & 1-2" amounts farther N/W should be confined to higher terrain above 750 ft. Even that isn't a guarantee..