The Iceman

Well there will truly be surprise pop up thunderstorms the next few days with no radar. Do the local news stations have their own radar or do they just license out NWS data?

97F/72 at 2PM. I don't think we will hit 100 again but we shall see. 

8 hours ago, LVblizzard said:

KDIX is down with no ETA as to when it will return to service. That really sucks with lots of storm chances later this week.

Did it overheat?

Made it up to 101.5F. Hottest I can remember in quite some time. Seems like most heat waves we’ve had the last decade underperform because of the humidity. This event had the mixing out of moisture that made the triple digit heat widespread. Pretty historic event! 

2 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

I briefly registered a 99 here in NW Philly at 2:09 pm but am back down to 98 with dp 75.  Don't know if I'll hit triple digits but still have a few hours to get there.

My DP has dropped from 75 to 73  in the last 2 hours so I think we make 100 here, we shall see! 99/73 is still a 110 heat index YUCK

14 minutes ago, Violentweatherfan said:

You gotta be a 100 degrees now

99F at 2 pm there’s like 4 other stations within 2 miles away at or above 100F.

2 hours ago, Hurricane Agnes said:

Well I bottomed out (if you can call it that) at 81 and have now h it 90 before 9 am.  Just got done watering and am hoping that will hold the plants until the next precip event (Friday I think?).  I was actually shocked that my potted herbs and veggies hadn't started drooping into oblivion yet.  

Currently a mostly sunny, hazy, hot and humid 91 with dp 78 as of post time (9:10 am). 

Im watering twice a day right now, once in the morning and once at night and my veggies are doing great. They droop during the day but I swear my zucchini and cucumber plants doubled in size overnight. They are loving the humidity…  96F at 12 pm here. Will be close if we actually hit triple digits.

also, we had a power surge early this morning at like 6 am. That was scary. No power in this heat would be no beuno.

Several stations in Levittown are at or above 100. My personal station is at 98F currently down from a high of 99F. Crazy that KTTN about 10-15 miles away is only at 93F for a high today so far.

96F 76 Dp at 11:30. Heat index 110 wow 

Man this decaying MCS has produced several pretty good wind gusts. Way windier than I thought it’d be. 

Is that stuff up north definitely going to fall apart before reaching here? Sure seems to be heading on a trajectory to hit se pa and most of NJ. I can already hear thunder and it’s been inching further and further south. I mean I hope it does, it’ll really throw off the thermal forecast. My point and click is saying only 20% chance of rain though.

Edit: I’m literally watching the 30 frame loop on RadarScope and there’s no just way this isn’t going to clip the Lehigh valley, and bucks/montco/philly on east. 

Still no power this morning, current estimation is 11 pm tonight. One of the better storms we’ve had in awhile. Were there any confirmed wind readings? My anemometer on my station has been wonky for awhile so I don’t really trust it but I’d say they were easily in the 60-70 mph range. My 160 pound canoe flipped over from where I had it hanging on two barrels. From putting it there I can tell you it takes a lot of force to do that. Huge trees and branches down across the area too, think I read 15,000 in Levittown alone without power. One weird thing was how little lightning and thunder we had with it. 

Mesoscale Discussion 0716
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
May 6, 2025 16:01Z

Areas affected...portions of eastern Pennsylvania into western New Jersey and far southeast New York

Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible

Valid 061601Z - 061800Z

Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

SUMMARY...The severe threat should gradually increase over the next several hours. The stronger storms will be capable of strong wind gusts and perhaps large hail. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance may be needed if appreciable strong storm coverage becomes apparent.

DISCUSSION...Insolation is modifying the boundary layer amid some persistent cloud cover, remnant from earlier showers and thunderstorms, which is warming temperatures through the 60s F. Cooling temperatures atop a destabilizing airmass from the approach of a pronounced upper trough, and minimal convection inhibition, is supporting relative robust updraft development across southeast PA (per MRMS mosaic radar imagery). Through the day, further heating should boost MLCAPE to over 1000 J/kg, which should be adequate for scattered strong to potentially severe storms given expected 40-50 kts of effective bulk shear. Current regional VADs and short-term RAP forecast soundings depict a unidirectional vertical wind profile with elongated, straight hodographs. As such, linear multicellular clusters and transient supercells should be the primary modes of convection for the stronger storms that manage to develop. Strong, damaging gusts are possible later this afternoon once the boundary layer destabilizes. Given colder temperatures aloft overspreading the Mid-Atlantic into the Hudson Valley, large hail cannot be ruled out either. Therefore, if robust storm coverage becomes apparent, a Severe Thunderstorm Watch may be needed within the next few hours.

..Squitieri/Gleason.. 05/06/2025

suns out here in Levittown now

Rain looks like it’s going to severely underperform here. Might have to water the garden tonight…

Gfs cold bias in the mid range is just silly at this point. CMC and euro really aren’t much different synoptically, they are just much warmer(realistic as bl temps heading in are scorching). Winter is done for the year.

Yeah definitely getting “sick” and hitting the course one of these days this week… it’ll prob be the nicest week we have until the end of may…

3 hours ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

2014 and 2015 exist. To me, those are the gold standards for winters going forward.

13-14 is my favorite winter of all time that I have lived through. There were so many winter events that season it made Ray Martin give up updating his Winter Storm archive. (Just messing @famartin ) In case anyone is not familiar, his site is THE site for looking back on old storms from 1993-2013 in our area. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/ I wish I was good with computers and websites because I'd love to keep updating it to current(and past).

1.55" yesterday. Route 1 south in Morrisville was completely flooded during the height of it. Was quite a mess. 

Pretty crazy that we had 11 separate winter events this year for a total of 13.75". Forget nickel and dime that's a penny winter lol

Winter is certainly donezo, but March is looking at least fairly active. I see at least 3-4 decent events in the next 15 days even if they are all rain. Doesn't look all that cold either thankfully. 

“Here's my winter forecast:

Temps:

Dec +1 - +3

Jan +2 - +4

Feb +4 - +6

Mar +1 - +3

Overall +2 - +4

Snowfall at select locations

PHL  5-10"

TTN 8-14"

ABE 15-20"

ACY 4-8"

With how northern stream dominant the pattern has been this fall, I do think we see a return of the clipper this winter. Think this is how we receive most of our snow with several 1-3"/2-4" storms. I think this will also be a winter of big swings. Some pretty good cold shots followed by temps in the 70's a few days later. I don't see weeks on end of it being cold or warm. Precip overall below normal with a lack of southern stream interaction. We may sneak in a miller B that provides the area with it's biggest snowfall of the year(4-8" type deal) but not seeing a blockbuster as I expect the NAO to remain”

I can’t figure out how to cross quote on mobile but this was my winter forecast from November 1st. Overall not bad snow wise and pattern wise, but definitely too warm temp wise. We never really saw huge positive departures this winter. Snowfall wise pretty on point for most areas probably too low in acy and Philly. 
 

overall I give winter a B-. We are going to finish slightly below average snow wise but it was mostly cold and we had a lot of snow events even if they were all small advisory events. Some slightly better luck and this would have been a memorable winter. But compared to the last few, it actually felt like winter this year for a full season not just for a few days or weeks so that’s a win in my book.

Also the ground by me is muddy as hell, no drought conditions here at the moment

Saw the first bumble bee of spring outside today. Winters over folks

I was sick all day yesterday but I really don’t believe you guys with 2-4” there’s like a dusting here cmon. 

I wasn’t alive for the 1980s but someone was telling me the other day that this was exactly like the typical 80s winter. Does that track for you old heads in here? 

Based on radar it’s looking like I’ll get at least 1-2” today