Jump to content

tuanis

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    755

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by tuanis

  1. tuanis
    I feel like the big winner is often where that fgen band slows and stalls, then pivots back over with the defo. In the case of the latest 3K NAM, that looks to occur just north of the border. It moves through the metro too quickly as depicted to dump much. (Long range NAM caveat applies obv).
  2. tuanis
    6z run of the 3K NAM blasts the dry slot much further north, pushing the best fgen into southern WI after the initial band and before the mediocre defo moves overhead. It’s long range for NAM, but I feel like 8 out of 10 events surprise with how far north banding ends up. Something to keep in mind as we get closer.
  3. tuanis
    Ride’s not over yet
  4. tuanis
    Question is how far north will the dry slot push to shut off precip/drizzle on us before the defo establishes itself and swings through. I imagine models will be narrowing in on that over the next 48 hours. Could easily push dynamics north for awhile. Perhaps even into WI.
  5. tuanis
    This thing gonna be a Border Bomber? NW shift resurrected? Has Geos returned? Iowa looks to get crushed.
  6. tuanis
    Just got home excited to catch up on this thread and it’s been kind of like reading the comments on a teenybopper YouTube vid. Those contributing solid analysis despite the noise, well done. Still looks good for the metro and still like where I sit. I’ll set my expectations at a realistic 6.5” and enjoy the storm from here on out. Sounds like duration with flakes in the air will be solid. Kids are pumped for an actual snowfall not bungled by sleet and rain with hopes of building an epic snowman.
  7. tuanis
    We're nowhere near done with the surprises on this one. Plenty of runway left.
  8. tuanis
  9. tuanis
    Just wait until the 12z Euro comes out Still not ready to bite on this one yet, but I'm certainly along for the ride.
  10. tuanis
    Pattern looks sloppy behind this thing, too. Hope it works out.
  11. tuanis
    Patiently watching this one unfold. Seasonal trends for the past two years warn me it still could shear out into a pile of garbage. Worst case scenario would be the precip associated with the wave on Saturday night missing north into Wisconsin, then the main low Sunday>Monday being suppressed with little wintry precip even downstate. Liking where I sit, but we've really been through the ringer with events not coming together the past two years.
  12. tuanis
    Cool little feature. Damn we’re all so thirsty in here.
  13. tuanis
    Based on regional radar sure looks like the accumulating stuff will fall in southern WI. Not like it'll amount to much up there either.
  14. tuanis
    Is that all bamboo?
  15. tuanis
    It’s all big fatty flakes over here. Sun’s about to pop out.
  16. tuanis
    It's really been coming down the past 25 minutes or so. Not amounting to much with the warm-ish temps, but lake effect does look sweet when it's falling. It's too bad these bands are typically so transient on this side of the lake.
  17. tuanis
    Driveway coated here already. Intensity comes and goes but at times it ain’t bad at all.
  18. tuanis
    Radar filling in, switching over to snow. Hoping for a couple inches to freshen up the slop sandwich out there.
  19. tuanis
    Still stuck in an area of subsidence south of the NE-SW oriented band. Not doing anything. If this were a solid snow event I wouldn’t be happy about that, but eh. More focused on nursing my NYE hangover anyways
  20. tuanis
    Not doing much of anything here yet. Band set up a couple miles to my north. Expecting the kitchen sink then an inch or two of snow as the low pulls east. Remember when the models had the surface low lifting into Iowa?
  21. tuanis
    About 2.5”. Queue the sleetfest early. It’s a dry snow.
  22. tuanis
    Low visibility, stacking flakes. It’s been awhile.
  23. tuanis
    Dewpoint still at 20*
  24. tuanis
    Pretty sweet looking band moved over your head during the past hour per radar. Hope that translates well to the east. Radar really filling in nicely down that way over the past few scans.
  25. tuanis
    DVN seems to be having a tough time with saturation, but looks like that should change within the hour - pretty much on schedule with HRRR depiction.
×
×
  • Create New...