PhineasC
-
Posts
34,634 -
Joined
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by PhineasC
-
Heavy sleet for hours is rare here for a reason.
-
No sleet, just dry slot.
-
Doesn't seem like 1 inch of precip is going to happen. Unless something changes, models will bust badly on precip.
-
Great minds...
-
Did @das check in yet? His obs are always solid.
-
Move south.
-
Looks to end for the northern tier for a while.
-
Sheesh that was a fast 1.5" Radar has great orientation for MD.
-
Finally some flurries.
-
I wonder if the snow will even start here before the yellows arrive. Been saturating this column for hours.
-
Great dry air debacle of 2019 here so far. Sky is bright. Ugh.
-
1-3 in the cities seems low. Especially Baltimore.
-
LOL did I pay you to make this?
-
Do they still use their boom and bust scenarios that allow them to cover every outcome and never bust?
-
Just doesn't seem likely with this radar.
-
29/13
-
Can't recall ever seeing a national radar quite like this.
-
30/11 Feels cold, man.
-
Snow depth should show how much snow is on the ground after melting, compaction, shitty rates, etc.
-
35/18 here.
-
Don't worry, the snow will all be gone soon and then you can disappear again.
-
Look great to me!
-
I would describe this snow as more like the tar from an emphysemic smoker's lungs after a three pack a day habit for 40 years... but yeah still awesome.
-
Models often overdo the "second phase" of these events. and the HRRR/RAP at range are really suspect. Based on radar, things are winding down, could be some bursts here and there, sure. Great event. So often things are boom or bust around here. Always nice to get a "standard" 4-6 inch snowstorm for the area. Like your grandpa used to frequently enjoy from DEC 1 to MAR 1 before our climate was apparently screwed up. LOL
-
SREFs have burned us many times. They can appear to be very stubborn which makes it seem that they have caught on to some trend ahead of the other models, but then it turns out they are just crap and were way off the whole time. People also forget to take out the outliers (high and low) to produce the mean. There are some real garbage members in there (various ARW - Always Really Wet and NMM - Never Much Moisture runs) that always mess up the mean.
