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NeonPeon

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Posts posted by NeonPeon

  1. 11 minutes ago, Cold Miser said:

    Being a kid going to Woodstock Academy, CT (the town high school) sucks for more reason than one, but the suckiest reason is that they don't have snow days like the old days.  They go right to online learning.

    Neighboring school district did online learning. Ours just has a snow day, and we took advantage of it with 2 hours of the most required curriculum ever: sledding.

    I'm all for more days of school. The school year should be 210 days long, not 180, but don't take the snow days away!

    • Like 2
    • Haha 1
  2. This is unfortunately the reality of human behavior. The more defined a probabilistic forecast is, the more expectation there is of it. The NWS can say a million times that the center of the cone is not a track prediction, but people by and large cannot interpret probabilistic risk. 

    We've never had things better in terms of lead time and prep, but as the forecast verifies more and more often, the more people will be angry about vacillations in increasingly less significant details of that forecast. Less significant in terms of public policy and risk management, not less significant in terms of their house.

    • Like 7
  3. 14 minutes ago, Chambana said:

    Pine Island will be inhabitable.. Punta Gorda getting absolutely destroyed. 

    Access will be an issue but per the person I know on pine right now, their images don't show anything like the devastation elsewhere. They benefited from missing the storm surge further south and then by the time the western eyewall passed through, it was weaker with the worst winds further north. The guy is an idiot for staying there, but from what I saw so far, if there's a lucky way to be bullseyed by a hurricane, then that's it. Much better than being on the northern end of the eye or in the storm surge peak.

  4. 1 minute ago, MANDA said:

    Based on radar at 3:00 center of the eye looks to be right over northern end of Pine Island - near Pineland / Bokeelia on the northern end of the island.

    I know someone on pine island, lives right on a canal. No idea why they are there still, setting up a Skylink in the eye. Not too bad so far, so they say, but that's because they are on the north end of the island and the surge is not on for them yet.

  5. 21 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

    Rain has been changing to snow from west to east. It has been pretty much all snow in Western New England, but a lot of places under 500 feet were getting a rain mix in central and eastern SNE.

    We changed over to snow an hour ago so you should be changing over any time now I would expect. 

    Somehow I feel like Me and Neon Peon are among the folks getting screwed the most with this so far since it has been hours of light rain snow mix before it finally got down to business.

    Ill never buy into a relatively minor event producing much of anything right on the coast in liminal temps. Can't get screwed if you don't expect anything.

    I went on a nice long walk in a rain jacket. If winter didn't want to say goodbye nicely, it can choose the good riddance strategy.

     

  6. Woke up to pingers at 4am and knew that it was what we thought it was.

    Now my kids daycare is cancelled and we get to enjoy what will be a rain day. I understand why they did it due to staff driving from north, but there's nothing enjoyable about cold rain.

    Heavy sleet should give way to rain any moment.

  7. 2 minutes ago, ScottieBird said:

    For anyone who's been studying SNE climo for any length of time in these types of events knows how absolutely ridiculous those winters storm watches were for the South Coast of RI and MA. Absolutely ridiculous. 

    I don't know how a watch can be ridiculous, but I've been certain that we're looking at a mainly rain, couple inches of slush at best thing.

    Honestly, the blizzard actually being a blizzard here shook my confidence in pessimism at all times, which was a welcome experience. But it has its limits. The cold don't hold in the bay.

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