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NeonPeon

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Posts posted by NeonPeon

  1. I don't think I've ever seen a system like this where the shore didn't capitulate to rain almost immediately. Not that it really matters exactly how much there is when its all getting washed away.

    I am rooting for the Berkshires though. Know a weenie up there who is probably staring at his snowshoes right now wondering where it all went wrong this winter.

    Similarly, the people who live around the capital district. I mean, that in itself is enough punishment.

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  2. 10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    Ground temps do not matter in sufficient rates..period! The sufficient rates will overcome any warm ground BS. It’s happening in most places currently as we speak. 

    The "sufficiency" of the rate is related to the ground temp. If you want a reduction to the absurd, go stick a griddle outside.

  3. 2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    It’s not minimal temps here. It’s 26-27 degrees. That’s hardly minimal temps. The point is,  in a lot of places it’s sticking to everything…as it is here. Roads covered and being plowed. Uptown just doesn’t forecast for the beaches. That’s a silly thing to say that the ground is too warm, cuz it’s clearly not in a lot of places that are in there forecast zones.  
     

    Perhaps It might have been more accurate to say,  the snow won’t be heavy enough to accumulate on the roadways in some areas, especially right along the beaches, if the snowfall rates are lighter.  

    Yes, of course the antecedent temperatures matter, and the snow rate matter. It is a variable. It's not a switch. I'm just saying their casually applying it with a broad stroke is as silly as claiming the phenomenon doesn't exist.

  4. 16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

    Lol…folks that still buy into those silly myths are foolish.  It blows my mind that NWS(upton) even says that stuff. Especially when you have arctic air spilling in on top of it. 

    How could it be a myth? It's basic physics. We have liminal  temps, it didn't get below freezing until recently, and when I laser temp a surface it's well above freezing. There's no snow accumulating on anything that retains heat. Yes, snow falling at decent rates would overwhelm that, but that makes a significant difference, since we don't have remarkable rates even in the bands right now, and it's a long duration low intensity event with lots of breaks for melting. There is a large break between this batch and any further sustained snow tonight. Road conditions would be more of a concern if antecedent temperatures were cold. Would they magically melt poundage? No, of course not.

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  5. Some of the models show modest snow but over a long period of time, with some down time in between. That would tend to make actual effects fairly minimal impact.

    Like, I could see getting 3 inches of snow but never really having much of anything on the road.

    Plus there's no commute. I can see them expanding wwa west just a bit for that last pulse, esp given timing.

    • Like 1
  6. 3 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

    You really are autistic aren't you?  Don't make fun of two of the greatest musical artists of all time dude.  Their other senses more than made up for whatever you think they lacked.

    See now this is actually irony, people... Calling someone autistic for making fun of the blind.

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  7. 2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Snow-storm...compared to '78,

    Eastern mass wx blogged about it...and fizzled the next day

    It's a 3SD of the R-N-A

    It's a jog west on the euro, 50 miles too late.

     Isn't ironic, don't you think?

     

     

    No, I don't think. You can't casually foretell irony. That's rather the point of irony.

    • Confused 1
  8. 57 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

    Lets see how awful the models will be with this storm.

    There isn't a storm of any relevance, except on some models. The only reason you have introduced the narrative of "the storm" and instantiated it is because of your reading of these models. Irony.

    It would be more accurate to say, "Let's confirm, yet again, how awful humans are with probabilistic thinking."

    Still, its something to hold our desperate interest for at least a couple days. Unless  lest we continue bickering about who had to walk uphill both ways further in LESS snow than the other guy." Ok, that's wordy, but its a jumping off point.

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