NeonPeon

16 minutes ago, bristolri_wx said:

There’s a 25% chance this may over-perform. It’s happens for us once in a while lol…

It's the hope that kills you.

Nice light snow. Kindof the routine here, a lick of snow on the front end into rain, and then underperforming snow on the back end.

Quote

...a model for everyone out there.

I can't find anything that would scratch my itch.

Will I get no accumulating snow, or 2 inches of slush, good lord the options are dizzying.

I'm expecting a bit of slush on the hedge, rain and white rain.

It's the hope that kills you. That would be a half foot of paste imby and it ain't happening.

Is Lee still ingesting dry air? It still seems intent on trying to make a small eye, within a much larger circulation, but it can't do that or close the enormous eye wall either. The outflow looks fantastic, and it doesn't look that dry on the water vapor but it can't seem to fix the banding. 

3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

“Meteorologists”


.

Tweetiorologists.

18 minutes ago, Akeem the African Dream said:

doesn’t look anything like a cat 5

maybe mid - high 3 at best 

Well, because it isn't anymore, just like it was a cat 3 when it was a cat 1.  It doesn't really much matter at this point does it?

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Based on recon and the fact this thing is still going to town, I think it’s a given we’ve just witnessed the most insane rate of RI in Atlantic history 

The structure of this hurricane always looked precocious. It had better outflow as a tropical storm than some hurricanes, and it always had symmetry as a whole, even if it hadn't developed symmetry at its center. Sure, part of it was that it's far away so the noted strength of the storm lagged behind the observable reality, but even so, it seemed to have zero growing pains at all. It went through the gears and skipped some. 

Usually it's structural organization that slows ri down, then once that is sorted, it takes off. This thing was cooking with gas immediately. The way that it put up towers and wrapped around from spiral to donut in hours was ludicrous.

6 hours ago, BrianW said:

Its time.  I'm probably 10 days away from my first cut.

 

There's still time to plant something in that green desert of yours. A tree perhaps? Anything? 

On 3/9/2023 at 1:09 AM, The 4 Seasons said:

Got a new toy to play with. Finally got around to make a SNE, CT/MA/RI map. So i'll be able to some forecasts and analysis for this region now. Too bad this winter sucks...

I think that map looks perfect for this winter. At least imby. You can trim as needed from there.

It looks to me like this band will be the most of it. 

8" for this season. A few garbage slush events, the best event 5 inches. 

Mild temperatures galore for weeks on end, indistinguishable from spring here. This is a winter that basically wasn't. The third worst season on record, behind 94' and 97'.

It was like winter when I was a kid...in Newcastle, England. 

Screw this winter. 

Finally flipping in Newport. 

The general public can't be trusted with these maps, not like the reasonable, cautious folks on here, who know never to get carried away, or emotionally invested. 

I thought at the least this would be one of the inumerable times I'd be on the rainy side of a nor'easter. On the outside looking in.

This just doesn't really feel like one though. Particularly the winds. Even right at the bay... 15 mph, not even gusting to 30. Really unremarkable. 

I see winds are increasing, but still. 

12 minutes ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

You've had almost as much snow today as I have in methuen this winter lol

More than 3 times as much as me.

13 minutes ago, backedgeapproaching said:

Looks like a mini Alps village..lol

Unfortunately for the ski resorts there of late, so does most of sne.

Just now, ineedsnow said:

WTH is this map 

Funktop scheduling?

It is odd how there's no clear idea even within the scatter plot.

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I don’t recall such crazy ranges in tracks this close to an event. It’s amazing. 

Really, because I think the sentiment you are expressing has been expressed every other storm on here. The uncertainty of the forecast is amplified by the weenies on the edges who are tracking every vacillation to the point of insanity, laughing, I might add, at more steady and conservative approaches by the likes of box, for not hoisting em, raising em, and, presumably, jerking them knees. 

The thing here is all the normal evolution of the storm uncertainties, track, etc. are even more amplified by the liminal temps. I'm fascinated to see how it pans out. I think this will be increasingly how I have to appreciate winter weather given my location and, well, you know. 

2 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

It’d be an epic disaster.

Looks good to me. Oh no, I'll miss out on the rain. 

1 minute ago, MuddyWx said:

this will be a great now-cast storm

This is going to be one where we get "puking" posts and then also people just actually puking.

The banding in this storm is going to be hilarious, with wild haves and have nots in the areas riding the line. 

15 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Absolutely I just remember 18 when we pounded during the day.

Good lord don't remind me. One of the most brutal storms ever. I could travel literally 2 miles in any direction and watch the snow double, then double again. Newport is special.

It's almost fun being on the outside of this one. I'm not stressed at all. Will I get rain, or rain. What temperature will the rain be? It doesn't engender much of an emotional reaction. I'm not hanging my hat on one solution, I'm not staying up for the next model.

Hang on a second, I mispoke, did I say almost fun, I meant painfully unrewarding.

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Puke city 

Narragansett bay snow hole modeled correctly; lock it in.