NeonPeon

Waterspout video

Kindly ignore my weather fangirling.

I just saw a hook echo then watched a waterspout form from the cross sound ferry. Took some video.

Coating here. This weather today conspired to be as god awful as possible for the exact timing of the parade. Washed the early vomit off the sidewalks. Now the rest can freeze.

Going to have a wintery drive up to providence.

21 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Rain has been changing to snow from west to east. It has been pretty much all snow in Western New England, but a lot of places under 500 feet were getting a rain mix in central and eastern SNE.

We changed over to snow an hour ago so you should be changing over any time now I would expect. 

Somehow I feel like Me and Neon Peon are among the folks getting screwed the most with this so far since it has been hours of light rain snow mix before it finally got down to business.

Ill never buy into a relatively minor event producing much of anything right on the coast in liminal temps. Can't get screwed if you don't expect anything.

I went on a nice long walk in a rain jacket. If winter didn't want to say goodbye nicely, it can choose the good riddance strategy.

16 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

Elevational event. Snow level 500 feet, I think. And that’s if you’re away from the coast.

It's snowing now, which for all sensible effects is trivia. But, not for me. An opportunity to say goodbye to winter.

This isn't even good mood snow down here so far. I wasn't expecting it to stick, but it's mostly rain.

Anyone know how NW CT is getting on? Anyone near Cornwall?

Woke up to pingers at 4am and knew that it was what we thought it was.

Now my kids daycare is cancelled and we get to enjoy what will be a rain day. I understand why they did it due to staff driving from north, but there's nothing enjoyable about cold rain.

Heavy sleet should give way to rain any moment.

23 minutes ago, IowaStorm05 said:

I noticed that. Why? 

I mean this is a significant storm that just happens to be poised to disappoint my state.

Population distribution.

50 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

Reading comprehension FTL. 
C O L L E C T I V E L Y

Why would aggregating a bias resolve it? You compared the various opinions on this board to ensembles. They aren't. They aren't even different models. Some of us are just grunting.

2 minutes ago, ScottieBird said:

For anyone who's been studying SNE climo for any length of time in these types of events knows how absolutely ridiculous those winters storm watches were for the South Coast of RI and MA. Absolutely ridiculous. 

I don't know how a watch can be ridiculous, but I've been certain that we're looking at a mainly rain, couple inches of slush at best thing.

Honestly, the blizzard actually being a blizzard here shook my confidence in pessimism at all times, which was a welcome experience. But it has its limits. The cold don't hold in the bay.

3 minutes ago, ROOSTA said:

The forum (sub-forum) is akin to ensembles of thoughts and comments. Collectively always right

Nonsense, this forum has a noted weenie bias.

27 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

June 1940 to December 1941. And big reversals in 1942.

What's the Ukrainian for lend/lease? Uncle Sam has bills to pay.

7 minutes ago, wxsniss said:

Ignoring NAM, strong guidance support for this... they ticked higher totals further south... love how relatively uniform this is across much of the SNE forum:

I'm selling 4-6 near the coast.  My guess is my kid gets a slushy post birthday "snowday."

Nm, the update looks a lot more realistic Imby.

I don't think I've ever seen a system like this where the shore didn't capitulate to rain almost immediately. Not that it really matters exactly how much there is when its all getting washed away.

I am rooting for the Berkshires though. Know a weenie up there who is probably staring at his snowshoes right now wondering where it all went wrong this winter.

Similarly, the people who live around the capital district. I mean, that in itself is enough punishment.

Oh, and I enjoyed watching local Mets slow walk the totals as their graphics hadn't updated. 1-3, statewide, no big deal. 1-3 with some spots of maybe 3-6, 3-6 but not too big a deal, 3-6 with some spots...

I love a positive bust.

Lots of drifting, but my average was 5.75. will be interested to see what the reports are, as my house isnt the best place to sample. Western parts of RI cleaned up. That's nice as they werent hit as hard by the blizzard. Heading to the cemetery with my skis.

7 minutes ago, MBRI said:

7" West Greenwich

 

Wow, and still a few to come. 

Nothing beats a positive bust. Congrats.

Proper snow now. Finally got a full blanket and roads covered. 

Two very d different beautiful days. 

We are just too south of this little band so far. Had dippin dots in the am. Better stuff now but it struggles to accumulate. 8 hours of snow in one form or another, and we have just under an inch.

10 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Ground temps do not matter in sufficient rates..period! The sufficient rates will overcome any warm ground BS. It’s happening in most places currently as we speak. 

The "sufficiency" of the rate is related to the ground temp. If you want a reduction to the absurd, go stick a griddle outside.

2 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

It’s not minimal temps here. It’s 26-27 degrees. That’s hardly minimal temps. The point is,  in a lot of places it’s sticking to everything…as it is here. Roads covered and being plowed. Uptown just doesn’t forecast for the beaches. That’s a silly thing to say that the ground is too warm, cuz it’s clearly not in a lot of places that are in there forecast zones.  
 

Perhaps It might have been more accurate to say,  the snow won’t be heavy enough to accumulate on the roadways in some areas, especially right along the beaches, if the snowfall rates are lighter.  

Yes, of course the antecedent temperatures matter, and the snow rate matter. It is a variable. It's not a switch. I'm just saying their casually applying it with a broad stroke is as silly as claiming the phenomenon doesn't exist.

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol…folks that still buy into those silly myths are foolish.  It blows my mind that NWS(upton) even says that stuff. Especially when you have arctic air spilling in on top of it. 

How could it be a myth? It's basic physics. We have liminal  temps, it didn't get below freezing until recently, and when I laser temp a surface it's well above freezing. There's no snow accumulating on anything that retains heat. Yes, snow falling at decent rates would overwhelm that, but that makes a significant difference, since we don't have remarkable rates even in the bands right now, and it's a long duration low intensity event with lots of breaks for melting. There is a large break between this batch and any further sustained snow tonight. Road conditions would be more of a concern if antecedent temperatures were cold. Would they magically melt poundage? No, of course not.

From biking up the east bay bike path in a t-shirt to cross country skiing the next day? I'd love it.

4 hours ago, CCHurricane said:

Not sure about the weenie tag...simply making a factual statement.

IMBY frustration/depression is popping up all over this board!

Stealing mid Atlantic snow.