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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. Lack of cold is amazing considering how cold it is literally along the border
  2. Big cutter pattern for the coast, SE ridge under modeled all winter
  3. yes fully agree with good rad if we clear out, deep snowpack is over much of the area. Next week finally looks like some real cold. Lakes and ice castles desperately need it.
  4. Temps are above normal unless you are north of Montreal, it does start to bleed south but that is after this weekend.
  5. what arctic air? temps look warm on saturday and sunday
  6. We have a two week window before we go back to where we were since December 28th
  7. I post with what I agree with, don’t think that is odd?
  8. Amazing lack of cold air this winter, one of the warmest on record
  9. Remember when ensembles “didn’t make sense” because of MJO. Me too
  10. No changes, that is my reasoning. You can look at my posts from November or December as well, nothing has change and nothing will change. I already had this ensemble debate with you before, running a model at a low resolution 50 times is not what I would be using to forecast a very sharp gradient pattern, in fact its likely the worst tool you can use but by all means.
  11. lol, it’s rain after rain after rain and honestly the cold behind the cutters is not impressive. We are running +10 to +14 this month with no signs of any cold outside a day or two of slightly below normal
  12. I had +8 this month thinking last week or so would cool down but still maybe too cool
  13. its cold behind a cutter....the trough will re-establish on the west coast. No signs to suggest FEB will be anything but well above normal.
  14. Next week on the GFS, this is not a pattern change.
  15. As long as the cold stays out west, best we can do is a gradient pattern here until we actually get warmth in the West. Still no signs of that happening
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