Blizzard of 93

I don’t mind seeing those higher totals on the 18z GFS just over the border in MD…right where we want it….

18z RGEM on board with CTP wide Advisory event.

I wouldn’t mind, but I think we are headed for an Advisory for 2 to 4 with a few lucky spots (checks notes…like Cashtown…) getting a chance of 5.

Cashtown jackpot…so book it!

Here is the 18z 3k NAM zoomed in view for some Sunday fun while we find our trash cans…

You’ll like both 18z NAMs then … Warning level snow to our southern tier countries this run.

CTP issued this for Tuesday.

Very nice Euro run for the Friday snow chance! Long duration storm this run that starts early Friday & wraps up Saturday around dawn. It would be a Warning level event as shown this run & only 5 days away… Snow map is for Only the 19th chance 24hr. Kuchera.

12z Euro is good for Advisory for Tuesday for us.

That’s my lean for Tuesday for 2-4 based on most guidance. Friday could have a bit more upside if it comes together just right.

15z NBM blend is juicing back up. More blue than the last few runs.

15z NBM blend is juicing back up.

Yes, indeed! This 12z GFS run as it stands would be a decent moderate event for the eastern half of CTP, but a few minor tweaks & this could become more.

12z Canadian looks good for most of us for Tuesday.

I don’t mind seeing those higher totals just to our south on the 12z GFS with almost 2 days to go.

12z RGEM still looks good for Tuesday.

Light to moderate snow for about 15 minutes in Marysville has dissipated for now. The line behind it could produce more.

Both 12z NAMS are a go for a Tuesday advisory event.

Please have them get a measurement later if MDT gets a squall… I’m looking forward to 3 chances to see snow this week. Round 1 with the squall chance is underway with light puffy flakes now.

6z Euro still decent for Tuesday

6z Euro

CTP has a strongly worded statement on today’s snow squalls… Special Weather Statement Special Weather Statement National Weather Service State College PA 636 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 PAZ004>006-010>012-017>019-024>028-033>037-041-042-045-046- 049>053-056>059-063>066-141515- Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-Northern Clinton-Clearfield- Northern Centre-Southern Centre-Cambria-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin- Juniata-Somerset-Bedford-Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming- Sullivan-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Columbia-Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon- Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 636 AM EST Sun Jan 14 2024 ...DANGEROUS SNOW SQUALLS TO IMPACT THE REGION THIS MORNING INTO THE EARLY AFTERNOON HOURS... One or more bands of snow squalls will be moving east at 50 to 55 mph across Central Pennsylvania and the Susquehanna Valley, along the leading edge of an arctic airmass. Near whiteout conditions and a quick one half inch of snow in just 10 to 15 minutes will lead to dangerous travel conditions as a result of the very poor visibility and snow or ice covered roads. Winds will gust up to 50 mph in the squalls. If possible, delay any travel until the mid to late afternoon hours. If you are traveling, your recognition of these squalls and the actions you take to get off the road or help to gradually slow traffic could prevent a high speed, multi-vehicle accident and save your life and the lives of others. If you see terrain features and objects off in the distance being obscured by heavy snow within the dangerous snow squalls, take quick action to pull off the road to a safe location, such as a parking lot or driveway to wait out the squall. If you are on an interstate, it`s best to get off the road at the nearest exit as soon as you notice the squall to ensure the safety of you and your passengers. If there isn`t an opportunity to safely exit the Interstate, slow down gradually, well before entering the squall and turn on your flashing hazard lights.

6z GFS is still a go for Friday the 19th.

6z RGEM remains very good for Tuesday & actually gets low end Warning snow amounts of 5 inches to Dauphin, Lebanon (yes…’Myra!), & Lancaster.

Best Euro run in days for Tuesday