CT Valley Snowman

Flake size isnt huge but heavy rates.  Looks beautiful out there.  19.6.  

We snow

Flurries 7:45 Enfield.  

22.6/3.2 at nearby PWS.  

Euro OP not as robust as AI. Favors SW CT for heaviest amounts.  

Light rain/snow mix and 34

I'm dreaming of a brown Christmas baby

fa la la la la la lock it up.  

.04 precip with marginal temps is not going to get it done.  next.  

I'm not home but I can't imagine things are looking very exciting from a snowfall standpoint.  There was a coating when I left and temp is now up to 34 at the nearest PWS with very light precip on radar.  Redevelopment later may be focused further NE and be to little to late here.  

Missed the changeover when I was at a Christmas party.  Came home to a light coating and an icy driveway.  

Down to 39 with light rain here.  Not expecting much snow here but I could see the higher elevations of NCT grabbing a C-1" type deal.  

Pack was obliterated here.  Only a few plow piles left in the most shaded area of the neighborhood.  

Despite only 3.5" on the month here, there has been close to continual snow cover from Dec 2nd through today and along with the cold and frozen bodies of water it has been deep winter.  Sucks that we couldn't cash in more with a bigger snowfall. At least we have a chance of a white Christmas, although I wouldn't call it a high chance, depending on how these shortwaves traverse around the big ridge in the central CONUS. 

Seems like 1-2" for many SOP.  2-4" S coast.  I'm expecting 1" here.  

Man that 95-96 archive is sweet to look at.  What a year.  

18Z GFS coming in weak and south for the 12th.  

ending as some light snow to coat the driveway back up.  

Had 2" here before the flip  Better than a shutout.  At least things look wintry some snow and a layer of glaze.  

A few catpaws mixed in but primarily zr and 32.  

up to 31 here with zr.  

Started mixing here about 15 minutes ago.  Temp is 29.  

Just got back from staying overnight in Franklin, Ma after going to the Pats game last night.  It was a slow go on the Pike with several spinouts and accidents.  You could see the warm air surge more pronounced near Sturbridge where there was less snow and temps were a bit warmer around to 30-31. Traveling west, temps started to drop down to about 28 as we descended down into the valley and snowfall increased.  Looks like there's a couple of inches here in Enfield although rates are pretty light at the moment.  

Looking like just a bit too far SE and low in elevation here.  I'll take an inch or two on grassy surfaces at this point. 

Really close call here. GFS pivotal maps have like 8" here and 2" in Ellington.  Surface temps on most modeling get up to around 33 with the 850 O line right over my fanny at the height of the storm.  I would prefer to be about 10-15 miles NW.  I'm going with a cautious 2-4"here in this part of the valley as a first estimate. 

I'm not crazy with the trend with the high placement and strength.on some of the modeling. Definitely makes it more challenging for those of us further south as the warmer air aloft surges northward.  We're threading the needle as we want a more dynamic system vs a weak shredded POS but with a track and high placement that will help keep the cold air in place longer.  

Definitely some caution flags. At least there is something to track at this range.