Orangeburgwx

Still heading due SW, this keeps going it might be a direct landfall in Myrtle Beach instead of sliding in to the north. Areas to the south end of the envelope just got put back on notice (I'm still under a TS Warning until further notice).

Cranky is a EURO hater this time of year

man that eye took a dead SW hook by looking at the Weather Channel coverage radar

I just got put under a Tropical Storm Warning

Wtf 9pm was 34.0N, 76.6W

Pressure: 951.7mb

18z GFS ticked back south

Yep

6:00 PM EDT Thu Sep 13Location: 33.9°N 76.3°WMoving: WNW at 5 mphMin pressure: 955 mbMax sustained: 105 mph

Looks like that would be a direct hit on Emerald Isle

The center blob looks like it is moving almost due west right now, that plus slowing in forward speed might kick it further down south-southwest west. This is going to be a long day and night for everybody, so even nowcasting is wishcasting.

GFS, to me, ran the system in too high imo... I think it dives down further into SC than that last run showed because it is really slowing down now

IR and Dvorak continue to improve by the minute

I don't know man... Last 90 minutes or so the IR and Dvorak looks better

Eye seems to be drifting west the last 30 minutes or so

From my NWS office: Friday Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after noon. Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Chance of precipitation is 40%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Friday Night Tropical storm conditions possible. A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 72. Chance of precipitation is 30%. New rainfall amounts of less than a tenth of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. Saturday Hurricane conditions possible. A chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 88. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Saturday Night Hurricane conditions possible. Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Sunday Tropical storm conditions possible. Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Sunday Night Showers likely. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Breezy. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Yeah she is really coming in high and hot by a full degree longitude

Also more time over water (ie the Gulf Stream)

13" of rain for me... The Edisto river is going to flood

I'm looking forward to it too, stay safe during Florence!

Here is where I got it from https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1039895342609772544

Just... What... A 140mi wide eye?! https://mobile.twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1039895342609772544

70-80% power outage for Orangeburg... Not good since my brother is on a nebulizer

Forward motion is down from 17 to 15

I'm staying put here in Orangeburg, further inland so not as much winds but I'm interested in the rain totals