WinterWolf

Luke, c’mon man, I know you think it’s funny, and it is at times. But when do you stop the constant ribbing? If you’re remotely being serious…I’d give it at least 3-4 days before we really know for sure which way it’s leaning. But whatever.

Well at the moment we don’t..so I agree. Just saying.

I think we gotta give it more time…conflicting signals—-equal uncertainty at the moment.

Bottom line…everything is in flux. Gotta give it a little more time to see which way it all wants to lean.

Down your way has been quite good…absolutely no complaints for your area.

So the +TNH looks to have a slight SE Ridge there in that graphic. And lower heights in central and SE Canada, instead of the lower heights over the east in the +PNA. Am I understanding it correctly?

Is +TNH the same thing as +PNA?

Hey, No Fangs or push back here …couldn’t agree more. I’ll call a turf and turd when I think it. At 12.5” on the season to date, average is about 50” here(give or take a couple in either direction), as of now normal snowfall is easily attainable with the large amount of time/vast majority of the season still left(and peak snow climo still in front of us). But if we go into the end of January, and I’m not above where I am now by a good 12-15” inches, normal season snowfall is toast. Agreed.

For sure. Very wintry out there now, and has been for the holiday season too. Looks, feels and seems like it should for late December, and now for the very start of January in a lot of places.

Couldn’t agree more Don…With everything you said. January thaws are 100% a part of our climatology here in SNE…it’s pretty much guaranteed a short relaxation occurs in January at some point. And wall to wall is super rare as you point out. I mean even the record and epic season of 95-96, had all the snow incinerated away in mid January, and then we picked it right back up where we started shortly after that. Long way to go here…85-90% of the season in front of us yet.

Excellent post Paul.

I was also thinking about that, and in New England this is spot on. Let’s roll the dice.

For sure Don. I absolutely agree with that. But I am speaking for this current season/current month, and those pieces are not missing at the moment.,right now writing off a whole month is stupid banter plain and simple. I mean, even BAM weather points out that SPV forecasts are not very skillful/accurate, and that was a forecast on an Op run at 15 days away…certainly low skill there; which is why he uses the phrase, “ a Bit of risk to the idea of a 1/12 flip to colder weather.” That 15 day Op run could be on to something, or if could be like most Op runs at 15 days, and be junk. For sure, have to see where that goes. But of course I’d imagine, there’s the idea too, would that even be coupled to the troposphere if that indeed comes to fruition?

Absolutely agreed. That BAM weather is very good…as I just said in my post, January could end up not being ver good. Or it could be just fine. But we can’t know that at this moment. He says just that. He gives the risks, and says gotta see what happens the next 5 days or so. Good post.

Just questioning that second to last sentence….I mean, why would anybody think it’s over on New Year’s Day, or the day after that(January 2nd?). I know for you…you’ve largely missed any/all the snow that other areas have received(which certainly puts a different perspective on things for sure). But for the life of me, I can’t understand throwing in a towel on a winter season(or any season) when it’s literally less than two weeks old(10-11 days into winter). Yesterday we had a post that said January was pretty much spent….posted on the very first day of the month, was what he said. And this isn’t coming from the perspective of all sunshine and lollipops… but posts like that are just trash. Sure, the person has the right to say that, but it’s complete senseless banter on the fist day of the month. Maybe January ends up sucking. Maybe the next 11.5 weeks of winter end up sucking worse than the previous 4 have. It could happen. But I can’t understand how anybody can write off a season in its literal infancy. And I’m not saying you are saying that, because you aren’t. I’m just pointing out some things is all. And yes, I’ve enjoyed what we’ve gotten to date, but yes, let’s get some bigger/more significant systems for the area/for all the area.

Ok. Fair enough.

Wrong thread.

So not writing off a whole month on the very first day of the month, is all sunshine and lollipops now? Ya, I don’t think so Ken. I love how people conflate things and turn them into something else completely. Appreciate it pal.

The only writing that’s on the wall says what happened to Ken?

Hmmm, I didn’t realize January was over on the first day of the month. Good to know. I guess we’re on to February on 1/1.

Definitely a wintry look and feel out there today…windy, cold and fresh snow on the pack…January for sure.

How did the post 1/10 period look to you today Will?

Really… on January 1st…what’s happening to you Ken? Does the back creak on July 1st? And no, I’m not glass full or overflowing all the time either. Looks like we have a couple threats to track again…I’ll enjoy whatever snow we can get. Long way to go…winter only officially 10 days old..back in great shape. And when we get the thaw, to whatever degree it comes with here, we will enjoy the nicer temps for a little reprieve.

You have BDL Twice…that last one do you mean BDR?

@The 4 SeasonsPicked up about 2” here overnight and with the squalls this morning. 12.5” on the season to date.