WinterWolf

Heading there myself in a half hour. I like the look coming up...

Bottom line is, It’s Active and there’s cold to work with/close by. Good times ahead.

Ryan had a little discussion about a system bringing accumulating snow/mix possible for next Tuesday/Tuesday night in his extended forecast tonight. So he’s letting the viewers know there’s a possibility.

You may need a Dr if that’s what you think. A light glaze .25” or less is beautiful to look at, anything more and it becomes exponentially disastrous.

Two weeks out lol...that’s fantasy nonsense.

Interior where? Upstate western NY State?

He’s just trolling as usual...trying to get a rise out of folks. He doesn’t want ice at all, but just acts like it, to get peeps to ask why? #TROLL!

Yup, I was gonna let him know, but you got us represented first, Nice. We add to the season total... Not too bad.

A lot of what was Modeled yesterday/and so far today on this potential event a week from now, could be off/wrong, and probably is. Just like yesterday’s dry air being over modeled Just 12 hours out from this current event on the GFS/modeling...??? Sure you can be right in thinking that...but as you know parts of that upper air depiction is gonna change a dozen times going forward. Which will change the potential drastically as the days click toward that timeframe.

All great points Wiz. And I agree. It’s a learning experience for all of us..even the Pros.

I see your point Duggs, and I can identify with it. But Perhaps it was just a tad harsh though. Sometimes the presentation is just as important as the message. Wiz made great points on why he thought the dry air would win out. But perhaps He let the dry air idea consume his forecast Too much? And I’m no MET at all, and don’t claim to be. Nor do I have the understanding that Wiz or any Red Tag has. But meteorology seems to be a very delicate balance many times. As soon as you get consumed with looking at one thing/aspect, that’s the downfall it seems. Something can always offset something else, and it’s different in every case. The dry air was there..but it didn’t do what some thought it would; or at least not to the degree that it was thought it could. Credit to Kevin and Ginxy...they had the right idea on this one.

1.0-1.5 on the cars and grass or so. Roads and driveway just starting to coat up/turn white now. And surprisingly the radar looks good coming up from the SW too.

This Analftont fraud 5 is actually working out here...we take and enjoy. Mod snow and 31 degrees.

That was epic in NNE, southern and central ME and Quebec. Peeps without power for well over a month in some locales! Grids completely destroyed in some areas! Ya...nobody wants any part of that crazy sh*t.

Be nice if it has the right idea for that...?

That’s what I think he/it means lol.

Lol yes you did! 4 out of 5 ain’t bad pal. Good guess. Go buy a lotto ticket.

Yes exactly. And so was 78...the grandaddy of clipper redevelopers for SNE. I didn’t realize you were meaning the innocuous lil buggers south of LI.

I think the clipper redevelopment is a real deal..happens more than the others in that list, and can become some big storms for SNE at times. Blizzard of 78 was a clipper redevelopment.

As I said this morning...I don’t trust anything that it says past 7 days. At 0z it looked like crap. Now it looks decent past the weekend/7 days. Take with a grain of salt...good look or bad! Like I said...I think we’ll have our chances going forward in December.

I don’t know, Kev posted it mid last week after the snowstorm.,sounded like he was talking about the Northeast to me... but who knows? I don’t trust that long range look on the ensemble products...as said, they’re all over the place lately it seems. I reckon it won’t turn out as bad as it looks currently. But it won’t be a Fabo pattern either. We’ll have our chances I believe.

HM’s December to Remember he issued a few days back....gonna crash and burn perhaps?? Personally...I don’t trust any of these longer range ensemble products and their looks At all past 8 days. Way too much volatility lately with these things. Wait and see pattern imo..by 12z it’ll all look different again.

Lol...can’t seem to escape that. Except in 17 when it snowed Xmas early morning.

It’s up in the air still...things could break for the better, or just be not much of anything. Need another day or two to see what May transpire. That’s about all anybody can say currently.

What I think he means is, the last one broke right and most of us did ok-and some did fabulous. If this happens to work out with accumulating snow, then what he’s saying is perhaps this winter is showing it’s hand somewhat, in what would be a positive for SNE.