WinterWolf

Just now, SnowGiant611 said:

The model spreads are very interesting, but it does seem like we have pretty solid trends.  Looks like the forecast of the hard cutoff on the northern periphery was possibly incorrect, at least for CNE.  The best mid-level forcing is still TBD, but it remains to be seen if this storm will over-perform or not.  I just don’t feel we can squeeze this much QPF in a progressive flow with little or no upstream blocking when the SLP barely breaks 1000mb?

NAM was 991mb’s.

7 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nice to look at but the potential is there if everything breaks right and I mean...like maxed out perfection. As it is, feeling more confident with 12-16” now.

12-16 is just fine with me.  That’s a great storm...especially for mid December. 

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

We take that. The NAM is pretty similar. 

Absolutely.

1 minute ago, weathafella said:

Puts me 16-20 land.   Thanks Will!

Same here. We all would be very happy and appreciative with that outcome.

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

22” but who’s really measuring that precisely. 

Lol I was gonna say 20 plus, but wasn’t completely sure, and didn’t want peeps to think I was exaggerating. 

9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I can work with this.

Note the 18" totals extending NE into se MA now that the mid levels hold on longer..

That depiction is 20” here...We Approve this message.

991mb on the NAM...that’s an uptick in intensity for sure. Nice to see. NAM is definitely a Major storm for most of CT.  

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

I use it to compare to 10:1 and possibly split the difference if the soundings look good. I know..prob use qpf and just go 12:1 but I prefer pornhub over math.

Any Weenie prefers the porn over the math. 

Weather channel starting to hint around about blizzard conditions/Near blizzard conditions for SNE. 

27 minutes ago, Greg said:

Generally it's a moderate to heavy snowstorm for many places but major or blockbuster, no. Can't change the definition, based on the impact.

This is definitely a Major storm for SNE.  It’s not a blockbuster at this point, but if 12+ falls, this is certainly a Major winter storm for SNE. 

4 minutes ago, JC-CT said:

Let's be friends

Love that look.

5 minutes ago, It's Always Sunny said:

What year?

2013

Just now, The 4 Seasons said:

New Computers for all!

 

What is that? 

2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

Jerry RPM fetish

21z run came SE. pretty darn good run for most of SNE and CNE 

I’m digging that look..liking that green blob in west central CT..16+ in that. 

8 minutes ago, Cmass495 said:

 

We take! Big dog incoming! 

Just now, Great Snow 1717 said:

Are you speaking of the Pope?

No, the newbie kid. 

1 minute ago, SnowEMass said:

BTW, where did JoeBlow go with his GFS King diatribes? 

Ya I was thinking the same thing..?  He will learn a valuable lesson from this. 

Where’s the Pope...he needs to go to confession.

Just woke up and took a peak...wow at the euro..guess The 4 seasons first call was spot on yesterday morning with 12-20 and blizzard conditions.  

Any Snow map for Ukie..then I can call it a night, and leave the Euro for the morning. 

1 minute ago, CT Rain said:

That’s a nice ukie look

No shredded storm on that look..we take. 

2 minutes ago, DotRat_Wx said:

I agree shitzu

Bahaha good one.

Just now, DotRat_Wx said:

Ukie crushing. NAM crushing. Gfs trending slowly north. Gfs ens trended north. Gem crushing.......id say we're doing fine here folks 

Yes I agree Rat...consensus seems to be emerging. 

1 minute ago, Thunderblizzard said:

That’s a big hit! 

5 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

Low res Ukie

I’m no pro, but that right there looks pretty dam good to me. Low is strengthening on approach..