WinterWolf

This is exactly my point. I don’t get the urgency right now. It surely can cut, I don’t deny that at all. But saying this is the day we need to see changes…I just don’t agree with that…especially since it’s only been 36 hrs since it’s actually become a threat. It was 0/2 yesterday morning(Friday a whiff and Monday too) on the euro…but now it’s do or die today, for a Monday potential? I’m not buying that at this lead. But that’s just my feeling. Others can lock this up today…I’ll wait and see how it looks come Friday afternoon? If it’s over Scranton then..let it rain. We’ll have more chances. Either way it’s all good.

Perhaps? But not always. I mean if we’re so sure of the outcome at 5 days out, then let’s lock up this thread, and start the next one..I’m serious. Let’s start the next thread and check this up as toast. I can’t stand the whining…some of these guys need to be bitch slapped. Its unreadable.

I agree.

Hey, believe the crazy modeling on Wednesday morning if you want. And flip flop every model run…fine with me. Folks just make themselves look unhinged. I however will not. Let’s see what we have come Friday night and Saturday? Cooler heads will prevail.

He is! God what a melt. It’s hideous seeing grown men act like wimpering morons. Get a grip for god sakes. This is exactly why you don’t make thread at a week out…but nobody ever listens. Cuz you have folks flipping out every run. It’s f’n Wednesday, the storm is Monday, and we’re locked in with the final solution I guess? If that’s the case, let’s just lock up this thread, and start the next one for next Thursday..ya that’s a great idea. Let’s use some meteorology Anthony. Instead of living and dying with each model run. Sad!

Ant, please stop with the Debbie BS. It’s Wednesday. It’s gonna change a dozen times between now and Monday. The far western tracks are spurious at best. It could happen…but this is not the final outcome by far. And you’re ready to jump off the George Washington bridge. Don’t be a flip flopper 5 days out. By Saturday, literally who knows what we’ll see?

Lmao..yes, just like that for sure.

That’s a nice look…we’d all like that.

Thanks man. It’s just so early in this evolution. And so much to figure out. I mean look at Friday’s event…how that ran the gamut from soup to nuts..and in the end the sound meteorological ideas won the day for us, regardless of what modeling was trying to sell us. Sure this could cut/fail, but I’m not taking too much too seriously either way(good or bad for winter enthusiasts) until Saturday.

That’s slower too…

Agreed.

I’m not worried one bit Luke. I’ve seen them all today. I’ve learned to not get too caught up in model flip flops at 5-6 days out. That’s all there is to that. Let’s see where we stand by Saturday. If it’s cutting then..then we cut. But No worries now. I realize you’re just analyzing this particular run. It’s all good. I’m not buying it at the moment. That’s my stance.

Not this one lol.

Lol…and 24 hrs ago it was a complete whiff. And we had folks yesterday saying there was nothing going on. And that the Friday system was gonna screw the pooch for the rest of January. Which was more utter nonsense. I feel you’re reading too much into one run..at a ridiculous long lead time. But that’s just my opinion.

100% agree. This has an eternity to go. So many more model runs, the fragile ones will be hanging by Thursday night

Yes sir…this has many more transformations to go through.

At 5.5 days it sure can be ignored. There will be over a dozen and a half more runs showing something else before go time. Windshield wiper affect…

For now..it’ll bounce the other way by Thursday/Friday.

This!

It’s the GFS at 5 plus days out..enough said. Just another solution. It’ll do this for a few more runs, then start correcting the other way after that.

Yup, it was moving along decently. That was a great one. Funny, the 11th of January was a Tuesday in 2011, and today is the 11th of January, and it’s a Tuesday too in 2022, and it’s exactly 11tears later . Pretty cool.

Northern Maine does cold really well…I’ve been up there during some brutal cold, and have pictures of my truck thermometer at -32F. Truck makes noises like you’ve never heard before.

6 degrees.

Would be real nice…we can hope.

Hmm? Tip seems to think this “Could” slow down some as we go forward (obviously not a guarantee). And it’s potential area expansion could make it last longer due to that as well. But we all know that you don’t need a long duration storm to get big totals Luke. Ya just need rates. Who knows how this potential will play out? Could be a big dud, or rain on us. But At least it’s a great signal and something to track. Should be a fun 4 or 5 days of tracking upcoming at least.