WinterWolf

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

Winds are forecast to be 30's mph G45-55mph up here, It will be grid failure.

Let’s do Jan ‘98 again for you guys. 

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

it wont take much heavy wet snow to cause power issues. if we end up with a good amount it could get really ugly around here

And you’re hoping that’s what exactly happens…you ain’t kidding anybody. 

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It absolutely is. Ask the Mets here if you don’t want to believe me. 

I haven’t heard, or see that at all being the problem.  The primary going to far north and east is killing this imo. If the primary was not making it as far north/or progged too, the secondary/coastal would get going further south, cutting off the warmth..thus we’d have a big wintry event on our hands.  But that doesn’t seem to be the case.    

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If it wasn’t there this was Napril 97 all over again. Models always underestimate it and then pump it when it gets in close. 

No. 

3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Off the SE coast 

No shit lol…but it ain’t playing into this. Point is GFS colder. 

6 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Where?

on the GFS…not enough for us…but it got colder. 
 

Where’s this SE Ridge your talking about? 

Here come the south and colder ticks…

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That went over your head. Thought you knew that one. 

Ahh ok….  I was like, dam I must be missing out on a great day, cuz it ain’t that good here. 

14 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

It is beautiful!

Wish we lived there. Overcast all day here, and 48 at noon, and 53 currently isn’t all that beautiful…just saying. 

24 minutes ago, Chrisrotary12 said:

"Euro isn't the king it was" is just fodder for when the Euro doesn't show what you want. If Euro were printing out the GGEM right now, y'all would love it.

Not really Chris …the model is mediocre at best now.  Anybody who is a regular here knows this. If it was by itself and showing what the CMC is showing, I’d be skeptical of it for sure, cuz it’s a mere shadow of itself now. 

1 minute ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro looked like not much of anything in SNE. 

That model isn’t much anymore. 

Start of the south trend at 12z….by 18z everybody will be high fiving…

28 minutes ago, Snowcrazed71 said:

It would have been nice, but how much can we actually expect this time of the year? Especially. On top of that, this whole year sucked moose dong anyway. I wasn't expecting anything out of this.

Yea as Scott said…if this was showing the solutions from Friday…we’d all be giddy because that would have gotten it done easily, and we’d all be buried. It can happen at this time of the year…but you need the right set up, and everything to go perfectly.  We can’t even catch one break this year for the most part(correction: actually CT did 2/13).  But it’s been a crap two years for the most part. 

Let the south trends commence…

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

27 years ago. Still the all timer for me in a variety of ways. That feeling won't ever be replaced.

Not so much here…many others much better than 4/1/97 for CT folks. But it was a good event nonetheless here…just nothing historic. 

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

It's funny usually we hear at this time frame all about the NAM trending North. It goes south and all of a sudden it's all about the GFS. Weenie world

Lol..when the NAM is north and warm ….we’re told to not discount it. But when it’s south and cold, it’s discounted.  Funny shit. 

At this point I don’t really care what it does…let’s do spring. But I do believe this will shift south as we close in. Just my gut feeling…the old over correcting BS.  

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Not even to bomb level yet, picture that run out 24 hrs with a 975 at the BM. Getting more interesting by the day.

Yup…surprises are coming. 

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs has been wrapping the primary further nw into MI each run. NoP folks need that to cease. 

I think the GFS is wrong on this..but that’s just me. 

5 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I think ideally for non-ORH hills/Berks interior SNE (and I’ll loosely define this as 495 belt from Ray right down to near Kevin on 84 NE of HFD) we want to see that primary die a little quicker instead of getting wrapped up into the thumb of Michigan. If you can can keep it more toward CLE instead then it’s balls to wall. 

This 50-100 mile shift south we need of the coastal is plenty doable at 3-4 day lead as we know…that’s a small shift at this range. Can we do it.  Let’s go NAO.

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

This may very well be mainly rain for all of SNE, but its not tracking inland.

Agreed.  But if that block is modeled close to correct, and is legit…this should get squashed more south as we close in. Whether that translates to snow for SNE is a long shot for the most part. 

Just now, 78Blizzard said:

Uncle says it is.

Uncle should be retired. 

2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It makes sense if it's right.....if it's a hair to strong with the block, well.....

Sure…but that block is a beast, but then again that hasn’t helped us in two years either so? 
 

But, Is anything right at this lead?  I guess we can ask ourselves that too? 

5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Gfs op way nw of every gefs member.

Tossed. 

Just now, ma blizzard said:

toggle between GFS / CMC 72h 500 and look at the difference over Quebec 

on the CMC much higher heights nosing in with the block 

Makes sense to me…but what do I know?