WinterWolf

1 minute ago, mreaves said:

Yogi Berra speaks! (Fellow old guys will get that)

Lol,  It ain’t over …till it’s over.  That post  was pretty contradictory by Wiz.  60% of the time, and All the time…. 

18z runs get wonky more times than not(and the Euro having a glue factory reservation) doesn’t help matters. Those of you in the goods for this one…I wouldn’t let that spook yous.  Betting the 0z zonks back up. 

1 minute ago, Weathernoob335 said:

Nice long run, I've heard the kids there are pretty out of hand at times, huge respect to all the teachers there (and really in every school)

Thanks  noob. 

12 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Biggest storm of the season incoming for you?

He got 19” on 1/7….I think it’s gonna be hard for him to beat that in this one..unless this goes south some more.  If it jumps south more..then he’ll have a shot for sure. 

2 hours ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Too bad. Wolfie was really howling the south trends would rage on…

I was kind of more just busting chops.  But it looked to me kind of like the late 2/13 idea where it corrects at go time.  
 

And To be completely honest…being we’re in April now, it’s not bothering me as much. Let the northern guys have it.  If it’s was a month ago..I’d be upset inside to be missing out.

18 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

BOX must be looking forward to my obs this week....right on the edge of the snow shield at the northern periphery of the coverage area.

Wouldn’t that be the southern periphery? If everybody north of you is increasing/getting more…wouldn’t that put you on the southern periphery? Just trying to picture what you mean? 

2 minutes ago, dryslot said:

Its going to suck.

Lol…that’s what ya get in April when big snow hits.  We’d be glad to take it off your hands, but unfortunately it doesn’t work like that. 

13 minutes ago, dryslot said:

All of ours.

Congratulations.  Gonna be fun for you guys. 

7 minutes ago, AstronomyEnjoyer said:

Shit, I lost track, are you a military guy (or previous)?

He was in the Core yrs ago…he’s a licensed Therapist now. 

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

Imagine we get this through go time and the low capture bombs like those HECS GFS runs

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That wouldn’t be the first time that has happened….convection and blocks and stahl and captures wreak havoc with modeling. 

1 minute ago, Prismshine Productions said:

No capture on Reggie but better than 18z

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Take away so far at 0z is that more of SNE is getting involved in the fun…

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

FML..I need to sleep.

Go get some sleep…in the morning this could look markedly different.  

4 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

That doesn't make a lot of sense so let's see where this trends overnight.

Ya, I was thinking the same thing. Even though we are close in, could be an intermediate solution/ model not knowing exactly what to do with it due to block and potential capture?  

1 minute ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

That is how we got croaked in 12-16-07....but that one only triple pointed. This hopefully redevelopes the mid levels in time to protract things with a CCB.

I have a feeling changes are a foot…everything slower and perhaps more powerful, trending more similar to something that we were seeing back on Friday… 

Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think the largest take away is that the primary is much further west. 

Will was saying earlier, if the primary was significantly west, that could also change the evolution of the coastal. 

1 minute ago, dryslot said:

lol, It is, This was the 18z Nam and the 0z is in the same place too

 

Thanks.  Didn’t realize that. 

Just now, dryslot said:

All the models have the secondary forming near the delmarva so it really isn't anymore south.

Really? Seemed awfully south(and more robust at that early stage)  compared to earlier runs from this morning and yesterday? But maybe it’s just my imagination. 

1 minute ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Nam shifts the primary only like 250mi west from 18z thru 40hr. Great model.

If that’s legit…it’s gonna change a lot of things.  

3 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

And already 988, that would become a nuker

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Yup, that was my “between the lines” point. 

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

That coastal is south…and just getting going at that point. 

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Feeling the block

Last minute south bumps

Enjoy the snow 

Interesting….block, and convection/or lack there of causing changes?  

Still trending…right up to go time, seems to be a trend this year. 

4 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

HRRR pelting all of SNEs face off.

We be pock marked and raw..

2 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said:

If only...

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Ya..that would get a lot more people in the game/and fun…but those suck, so ya, no. 

Just now, ineedsnow said:

lol not saying I dont want it    I like experiencing extremes 

Oh I know…you want it big time. Let’s bring it all down for you guys.