WinterWolf
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Everything posted by WinterWolf
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Ryan H just said it could be snowing at 2”/hr at this time tomorrow night in CT…so that would make sense.. -
It jacks WCT…nice hit. I’ll take that. AEMATT does real well too. It’s nice that they’ll share it with us CT peeps.
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Lol…I wasn’t trying to scare anybody. Just didn’t know what you were trying to express?
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Kind of reminds me of a SWFE coming in like a wall, and ponding fast and furiously and then it’s done.
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Are we starting to return to the earlier /yesterday solutions of more interaction and earlier?
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What was he looking at?
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Ya that’s a very good look here.
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Nothing wrong with the GFS here…we take.
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It’s all relative bro. As Will said and others said, the cutter can shift 2-300 miles and it’s still a cutter for us(but it has huge impacts for the folks in the lakes and midwest when it shifts that much). And that’s all ya need to know. A snowstorm for us on the east coast doesn’t have that wiggle room. Move it 200 miles west and it’s a cutter here again. Move it 200 miles east and it’s a snowstorm for us. Very small window for error here.
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I think you’ll do fine there..you always manage to more often than not. As Tip alluded to..let’s see what 12z does later?
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How is it for SNE…
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A week ago(last Friday), we had many saying January was done/no snow or winter lol. And the usual suspects were even cancelling into February.
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He does..but he likes to tease a lot too..we know. Snow coming Sunday, and then we flood. Then we improve. That’s reality.
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I’m fine with it pal. I’ll enjoy the snow Sunday, as will you. No controlling it..so enjoy what you can. Looks better after that. So we’ll take it.
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Scooter likes to agitate the weenies…
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maybe they’re expecting it to shift back south at 12z? It did the same yesterday lol…this is where the sensitivity in the modeling lately can be a detriment. As METS, isn’t there job to sift through the data, and gleam the important parts/overall look of all the data, and separate it from the noise? Not just go with the rip and read idea?
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I just meant that all of a sudden it was flaccid. We’re 36 hrs out and it suddenly changes its look. 6z GFS looked fine to me. And I’m thrilled with 6-12 or 6-10. And yes, I’ll gladly take the snow, and have it get washed away a few days later…I’ll Take what and anything I can get here at home.
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Perhaps they aren’t doing the windshield wiper affect? Their latest map still has 8-12 for a big swath…GFS at 6z confirms that. And this is where the Euro OP certainly isn’t anything like it used to be. So sad.
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Ok Pickles. Who knows what the Euro will show in 90 minutes? Or what we see tomorrow and tomorrow night? A lot of modeling has had the same 9-12” amounts here for many runs, and on many different models. Maybe it changes? I don’t know.
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I think that’s more of an issue if we’re looking for more than 10-12”. 8-12” is what NWS has here, and as is that’s doable with what modeling seems to be showing currently/tonight. For something ultimately upper tier..then we’d need earlier/and more shortwave interaction, and more of an intense system.
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Completely Agreed.
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That’s a crushing everywhere imo…thanks for posting.
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Figured that. The AEMATT is rampant lol.
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I’m thrilled with GFS…I was just questioning Jerry’s adjective of “it’s a crushing” is all..no need for weenies lol.
