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WinterWolf

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Everything posted by WinterWolf

  1. oh agreed John…not arguing that. You just have to know that they underperform most times. Kev doesn’t understand that, and sets himself up for disappointment. But he likes to fantasize sometimes….I guess as we all do from time to time.
  2. NO! THIS IS TRUE. You set yourself up for let downs all the time with these. This shifted east, so it failed here. Sometimes it’s the inversion. Either way(LLJ shifting away? Or the inversion?) they fail more than they don’t. And you buy in every time.
  3. Now you know why BOX was going low on the winds…they were correct on being very conservative here in CT, and in most of the area(except for SE coast). Gotta be careful going all in on winds around here, because they fail more times than not.
  4. See…ya never know. . OKX doesn’t either.
  5. They’re not coming son…it’s over Johnny.
  6. Ya it’s over for everybody except the cape. As usual. Enjoy out that way.
  7. Who needs epic…just average is fine to get us back in the game. We’d all take average about now.
  8. Yup, this is toast for most in CT, except maybe far SE areas.
  9. You mentioned that AI version is doing pretty well overall, right?
  10. Where’s all this wind? Need something to mix this cold crap out of here.
  11. Only 42 here..won’t warm up. Not a breath of wind here.
  12. I was actually just goofing around…it was more tongue in cheek.
  13. What time are these monster winds supposed to happen here in central CT?
  14. So you’re saying …we just don’t know? I thought so. Even METS are seeing the light.
  15. Oh, I was meaning you at all. We were talking about others that are weak moaners. Ya..where you lived down there, thats nuts if you like snow.
  16. They’re everywhere these weenies. The sad part is many of them are too young to really remember the bad times. I mean there was a time where a foot of snow in SNE was as rare as a unicorn for many years on end. Mixed precip events were the norm, and there were very few all snow events, and 1-3 and 2-4 inch storms were the norm. 3-6 was a nice hit, and 4-8 was a big deal for a long time.
  17. That won’t even be there at 0z. Watch potential signals on the ensembles as has been instructed.
  18. I was up in the St John Valley that week…drove home on New Year’s Eve day, and it was literally the same temp when I got home in CT, as it was when I left St Agatha, ME. Brutal cold that week/day when got home to CT.
  19. how’s it look John for us inland peeps here in CT.
  20. But nobody ever said that Luke. I certainly didn’t. I push back when folks say at 3-4 weeks out, that there won’t be any thing wintry coming in that time frame ..especially when ensembles and weeklies are obviously in a very volatile state currently. I certainly do appreciate a call one way or the other, and don’t have an issue with that. And think those that try to predict it, should absolutely do so. But ultimately…as Will just intimated…. A signal is certainly there, but we have to wait and see. If you were a TV met, would you say on 12/10, that there won’t be any wintry weather until after the new year? You could be right? But I wouldn’t say that at this stage if I was an On camera MET….not with what we’ve been seeing the last few days. My call…I think a wintry event is quite possible the last 7-10 days of December. That’s my gut call at the moment.
  21. Or doing a full on Berg as a TV MET, and saying nothing until 2025…it can go both ways.
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