lol…first of all at these lead times, it’s not worth much either way. And, there are no hard a fast rules that work in every scenario. Those that have any knowledge about weather, know this.
And at this time of the year…nobody is forecasting cold, even if there is troughing in the eastern U.S., so I don’t really get what you’re saying? Troughing to produce a system is all that is being discussed.