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Spartman

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Posts posted by Spartman

  1. 5 hours ago, hawkeye_wx said:

    The last two weeks have been extremely cloudy.  I remember only a few brief peaks of sun over that period.

    With the lack of snow continuing over the next couple weeks (even with an upcoming "Arctic" airmass), this is a January 2020 repeat.

  2. From today's AFD from NWS IND:

    .Beyond day 7...
    Some hints in ensemble guidance of a trend towards a more active
    pattern. Longer range guidance has been hinting at a sudden
    stratospheric warming event occurring in the Arctic come early to
    mid January. This correlates nicely with the Arctic Oscillation
    going negative as shown by many ensembles. Will be watching this
    closely as this could lead to a period of winter-like weather and
    colder temperatures come mid January into February.


     

    • Like 3
  3. 2 hours ago, mittenwx said:

    Brutal 12Z GFS.  Keeps the endless party of 40s going well into January.  No sign of any cold.  I'd trust Ryan Wichman at this point over the hypers.

    Wonder if the cutoff low just screwed up the opportunity for the "pattern change" that was supposed to occur next week.

    Only have 0.8" of snow so far for '23-24, all during this December. Wonder if '23-24 will be one of those seasons where it ends up with single-digit snowfall totals by spring.

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