Spartman

This thread should actually be extended to December 2nd (Tuesday) since it would last through at least that said morning.

Not much on the 12z Euro:

A bit juicy on the 00z NAM:

So-so on the 18z GFS:

The coldest low of the 1st third, if not the 1st half of December, look to be in the upper teens. Not much of a temperature spread, snow events or sun there.
Looking like a colder version of December 2014, so far.

Only got 0.6" of snow, only to be melted away overnight

A nice Friday on this being of those weeks of not much sun for the final week of November which will be followed by a crappy final weekend of the month.

1 hour ago, WEATHER53 said:

January will deliver guaranteed 

December's looking bad according to today's CFS v2 weeklies.

8 hours ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said:

You don't do well in ++NAO/-PNA either

We may have to wait until the 2nd half of December for snowfall. 

December is looking like a write-off. Today's CFS v2 weeklies are a blowtorch all the way.

37 minutes ago, CheeselandSkies said:

Long as that doesn't mean winter hangs around till the end of April the following year like it did then.

Which was followed by a cool summer that same following year.

6 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

our cutters showing a real propensity to go poof and the big flip cold looking like a dud

sad

Garbage pattern over the next week or so starting tomorrow, sure. The 06z and 12z GFS runs lost the cold throughout those two whole runs.

https://x.com/webberweather/status/1987600888471634277

Shades of November 2018....

Last October was the 3rd driest on record. This October was the 10th wettest on record with 4.82" for the month.

Top 10 Wettest Octobers:
1. 7.08" - 1919
2. 6.35" - 1941
3. 6.25" - 1986
4. 5.98" - 1990
5. 5.74" - 2013
6. 5.65" - 1995
7. 5.54" - 1983
8. 5.46" - 1926
9. 4.99" - 2001
10. 4.82" - 2025 

Garbage pattern starting to take place in order to close off the month. Get ready to be stuck in the 40s all day over the next few days, especially with soaking rains.

13 hours ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

30 at MSP. First official freeze at the airport. 

Dropped to 32 this morning

000
SXUS71 KILN 080538
RERDAY

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
138 AM EDT WED OCT 08 2025

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT DAYTON OH...

A RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL WAS SET AT DAYTON OHIO ON OCTOBER 7. 
A TOTAL OF 2.45 INCHES OF RAINFALL WAS RECORDED.

THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD FOR OCT 7 OF 1.72 INCHES...SET IN 1931.

$$

HATZOS

Biblical soaker, for sure. That much rain in one day during the first days of October, is this a harbinger of what's to come later in the month?

2 hours ago, michsnowfreak said:

Yeah. There were upper 80s days. But no 90 since Sept 2018. Im ready for cooler weather but a milder Fall in La Nina is normal. 

First September DAY failed to reach 90 degrees since September 2020. The last 90 degree day this year was on August 16th, the earliest last one since August 16, 2009 and August 16, 1997.

Wet stretch coming Sunday

Euro 12z:

GFS 12z:


To add insult to injury however, models are in agreement on a large cutoff low coming by the middle of next week that is expected to be around through the end of the month.
12z Euro:

12z GFS:

1st month to end up drier than normal since January

5 hours ago, Ahoff said:

That is interesting.   Those cool streaks don't seem as common lately, so that's pretty cool.  I believe August ended cooler than normal too, due to the cool conditions.

Seems like Summer was just given the bum's rush recently

4 hours ago, nvck said:

both the gfs and euro ensembles have a high in the low 60s for next Friday here in mt pleasant. Should feel great after a couple days of 80s

Almost time to open up a September 2025 thread very soon.....

Only hit 71 today. The record low maximum temperature is 67 back in 1930.

Still, mid-to-late August is just way too early for back-to-back days of overcast skies, for sure. 

2 hours ago, Chicago Storm said:

nelson is like one of the most chill people here.

so, to say he’s annoying is super lol. definitely a projection there.

Nelson can't be a chill person here if he wanted to rustle frostfern's jimmies.