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paulythegun

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    Jan 18-19 Storm Threat: Bob Chill made me do it

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Model grab bag. 

    JMA total precip (looking very good!)

    egvLtj6.png

    12z ARPEGE (JUICY!!!)

    lKABD3s.png

    ACCESS-G shows about 0.25 to 0.35 in liquid equivalent, tough to tell with this scale.

    GdpDI61.png

    And of course the UM(mmmmm) model is the driest. does UM have a dry bias? we'll see

    jkBXNLp.png

    557ww model...well...it doesn't have many good parameters other than 700mb RH and that looks north throughout the event, including at 00z on saturday. Though this is the 00z run of 557ww. so take it with a grain of salt until the 557ww computer processes the new 12z data.

    dcBQX5u.gif

    And last but not least is the RHMC model, which I assume stands for Ronald McDonald House Charities. Looks like widespread.....1 and 2 throughout the forum. 

    lc8x9CG.gif

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    Jan 15-16 Storm Threat Thread: The Return of Hope??

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    This is my favorite storm of all time. I saw the radar the night before. I was in sixth grade and remember thinking, “That looks like it’s headed right for us.” And yet Bob on NBC was saying we were just gonna get grazed for an inch or two. 

    For me, the Jan 2000 surprise storm led to over 2 decades of radar hallucinations. Still, no regrets.
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