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ers-wxman1

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Everything posted by ers-wxman1

  1. ers-wxman1
    I haven’t worked at LWX in over 3 years just an FYI.
  2. ers-wxman1
    Posted on Tuesday that the H5 pattern in no way supports such an event. Ridge out west weakens and the trough shears and stretches. Not favorable to transfer to a coastal, plus strong Canadian high to our north will wedge plenty of subsidence and dry air to where even what the model is sampling may only be virga. I’m sticking to my guns and not moving from a slider south of us as any low near the coast is starved of energy and does not come north or west enough to mean much for the I-95 and suburbs. Some WAA out ahead may generate a dusting to 1”, 2 at best but that’s all on this one. Personally, I’m heading to Snowshoe to ski and catch the upslope WAA to get the high end advisory snow.
  3. ers-wxman1
    Certainly. I’ve been skiing Snowshoe to see real snow lol. Hope our luck changes here soon.
  4. ers-wxman1
    Work for free much easier ;-). Hope you are well out there. Catch up soon.
  5. ers-wxman1
    This is a storm thread.
  6. ers-wxman1
    Thanks for the kindness and support.
  7. ers-wxman1
    I’m not backing down from a slider.
  8. ers-wxman1
    Euro looked better, pattern still not great, but, hey, I’ll take any good news after working now 3 weeks without pay. Been a bit more negative than usual, been a rough few weeks watching colleagues suffer during the shutdown and have to work through the holidays without pay checks.
  9. ers-wxman1
    Same commentary ;-).
  10. ers-wxman1
    Enjoy it.
  11. ers-wxman1
    You are hopeful that will continue to be sampled.
  12. ers-wxman1
    Yep the debs return! The pattern does not support a coastal storm, never did. Why fantasy cast it all the way to Saturday and be disappointed later.
  13. ers-wxman1
    Certainly were yesterday with the digital fantasies from the GFS/CMC.
  14. ers-wxman1
    And so is a whiff to the south.
  15. ers-wxman1
    H5 pattern is not evolving into one that is favorable for a considerable east coast storm as portrayed over the past couple days. Could it change...yes...will it change back? Not likely. It’s been trending like this all year for us.
  16. ers-wxman1
    I’m looking at the big picture over a period of several days worth of runs. It’s trending away from a more consolidated coastal storm to one that gets suppressed more south and less impactful. H5 pattern looks different and NS more suppressive, faster flow and shearing aloft in the vort.
  17. ers-wxman1
    This is trending in the wrong direction with some confluence upstream.
  18. ers-wxman1
    Panic Room for $200 please, Alex!
  19. ers-wxman1
    Charlottesville gets into advisory level 3-5 locally to 6, EZF 1-2 locally to 3. Then sharp cutoff. Light precip echoes with flurries into DC and to NOVA best case snow setup. North of there...could even see thinning cirrus over the M/D line
  20. ers-wxman1
    That’s broad. Dusting or greater is like saying 0.5 to 4 feet
  21. ers-wxman1
    Line of what? Smoking cirrus, dense cirrus, flurries, or accumulating snow?
  22. ers-wxman1
    Lol the Euro? For what. Writing has been on the wall since Thursday night. This is over. I’ve seen 100 posts on here all day about northward trends it’s not happening! Let it go. Euro will show nothing more than a sharp cutoff south. Simple!
  23. ers-wxman1
    Standing firm.
  24. ers-wxman1
    Could care less what their discussion says. It’s not happening for the immediate D.C. metro to NOVA. You can hook a fire hose up to Ocean City and send it into an imaginary Trowal, still not happening.
  25. ers-wxman1
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